Representative Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the primary vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin near 32 points. Establishment backing from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and major fundraising provided Pappas a decisive edge over the progressive challenger, consistent with pre-primary polling trends that showed double-digit leads holding steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these certified tallies and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries. Final certification or minor tabulation adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the exact margin bracket, though the scale of the result makes significant changes improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.7%
Pappas 25–30% 2.7%
Pappas 5–10% 2.7%
$6,262 ปริมาณ
$6,262 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
2%
Pappas 35–40%
3%
Pappas 30–35%
98%
Pappas 25–30%
3%
Pappas 20–25%
3%
Pappas 15–20%
1%
Pappas 10–15%
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
3%
Pappas 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
<1%
Manzur 5%+
<1%
Pappas 30–35% 98.4%
Pappas 35–40% 2.7%
Pappas 25–30% 2.7%
Pappas 5–10% 2.7%
$6,262 ปริมาณ
$6,262 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
Pappas 40%+
$1,781 ปริมาณ
2%
Pappas 35–40%
$305 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 30–35%
$470 ปริมาณ
98%
Pappas 25–30%
$373 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 20–25%
$671 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 15–20%
$832 ปริมาณ
1%
Pappas 10–15%
$411 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pappas 5–10%
$384 ปริมาณ
3%
Pappas 0–5%
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
Manzur 0–5%
$363 ปริมาณ
<1%
Manzur 5%+
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Representative Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the primary vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin near 32 points. Establishment backing from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and major fundraising provided Pappas a decisive edge over the progressive challenger, consistent with pre-primary polling trends that showed double-digit leads holding steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these certified tallies and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries. Final certification or minor tabulation adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the exact margin bracket, though the scale of the result makes significant changes improbable.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,262วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.Representative Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the primary vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin near 32 points. Establishment backing from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and major fundraising provided Pappas a decisive edge over the progressive challenger, consistent with pre-primary polling trends that showed double-digit leads holding steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these certified tallies and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries. Final certification or minor tabulation adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the exact margin bracket, though the scale of the result makes significant changes improbable.
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,262วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Representative Chris Pappas secured the Democratic nomination for the open New Hampshire Senate seat on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the primary vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin near 32 points. Establishment backing from retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen, former Vice President Kamala Harris, and major fundraising provided Pappas a decisive edge over the progressive challenger, consistent with pre-primary polling trends that showed double-digit leads holding steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these certified tallies and historical patterns for well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries. Final certification or minor tabulation adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the exact margin bracket, though the scale of the result makes significant changes improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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