Voting for Russia's State Duma party lists opened on September 18 in Moscow and nationwide, with United Russia positioned to lead as the dominant incumbent force. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds the strongest trader-implied position for second place locally due to its established urban support base, consistent second-place national polling trends in recent cycles, and role as the primary systemic opposition option. Yabloko's removal from the ballot narrowed protest channels, while New People attracts some younger or liberal-leaning voters as a tolerated alternative. Other registered parties trail with limited recent momentum or visibility in the capital. The tight clustering around 50% for several mid-tier options reflects uncertainty over exact ordering below the top two amid three-day voting and standard regional variations in turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 59%
New People (NL) 20%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8%
Rodina 5.9%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
59%

New People (NL)
20%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

Rodina
6%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Yabloko
3%

A Just Russia (SR)
1%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 59%
New People (NL) 20%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 8%
Rodina 5.9%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
59%

New People (NL)
20%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
8%

Rodina
6%

United Russia (ER)
4%

Yabloko
3%

A Just Russia (SR)
1%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice
1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Russian Ecological Party “The Greens”
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that receives the second greatest number of votes on the federal party-list ballot in the federal city of Moscow in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received on the federal party-list ballot within the federal city of Moscow. If two or more parties are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, votes officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Voting for Russia's State Duma party lists opened on September 18 in Moscow and nationwide, with United Russia positioned to lead as the dominant incumbent force. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) holds the strongest trader-implied position for second place locally due to its established urban support base, consistent second-place national polling trends in recent cycles, and role as the primary systemic opposition option. Yabloko's removal from the ballot narrowed protest channels, while New People attracts some younger or liberal-leaning voters as a tolerated alternative. Other registered parties trail with limited recent momentum or visibility in the capital. The tight clustering around 50% for several mid-tier options reflects uncertainty over exact ordering below the top two amid three-day voting and standard regional variations in turnout.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย