The closely contested race for France's next presidential election reflects a fragmented political landscape where Jordan Bardella and Édouard Philippe hold the narrowest leads. Bardella draws sustained backing from National Rally voters following the party's earlier legislative and European gains, while Philippe attracts centrist and moderate conservative support as a pragmatic alternative. Developments that could create separation include official candidate declarations by major parties, shifts in economic indicators or immigration policy debates, and any formal alliances ahead of the first round, as the two-round system rewards broad coalitions and turnout among swing voters in a field still shaped by post-2024 parliamentary dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วParis appeals court sets July 7 verdict date for Marine Le Pen's appeal trial
Marine Le Pen dips to 6%2%
The court announced the verdict date for Le Pen's appeal trial, heightening uncertainty about her presidential bid and boosting Bardella's prospects as her potential replacement, impacting their market prices.
Marine Le Pen’s appeal trial opens in Paris, putting 2027 presidential bid at risk
Marine Le Pen drops to 9%7%
Marine Le Pen began her appeal trial against a conviction for misusing EU funds, with the outcome potentially barring her from running in the 2027 presidential election. This legal uncertainty led to a decline in her market price and increased interest in her protege Jordan Bardella as a possible replacement candidate.
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