The UN Security Council’s ongoing straw polls, which gauge support among its 15 members without initially distinguishing permanent-member vetoes, remain the primary driver of trader positioning for the next secretary-general. Rebeca Grynspan has maintained the highest market share following her early lead in the July poll, bolstered by her UNCTAD leadership and role in the Black Sea Grain Initiative, while Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s rise reflects stronger results in the August round and her diplomatic profile as Guyana’s UN ambassador. Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others trail amid lower encourage votes, with the process requiring nine affirmative votes and no vetoes before General Assembly appointment. The third poll on September 18 and subsequent rounds will test whether any candidate consolidates backing from the P5 and elected members ahead of the 2027 transition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.1%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%
$195,913 ปริมาณ
$195,913 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
21%
Rafael Grossi
14%
María Fernanda Espinosa
12%
Macky Sall
7%
Michelle Bachelet
2%
Olara Otunnu
1%
Ivonne de Baki
<1%
Rebeca Grynspan 36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.1%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%
$195,913 ปริมาณ
$195,913 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
$18,963 ปริมาณ
36%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
$3,636 ปริมาณ
21%
Rafael Grossi
$27,752 ปริมาณ
14%
María Fernanda Espinosa
$7,255 ปริมาณ
12%
Macky Sall
$120,820 ปริมาณ
7%
Michelle Bachelet
$11,952 ปริมาณ
2%
Olara Otunnu
$2,927 ปริมาณ
1%
Ivonne de Baki
$2,609 ปริมาณ
<1%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UN Security Council’s ongoing straw polls, which gauge support among its 15 members without initially distinguishing permanent-member vetoes, remain the primary driver of trader positioning for the next secretary-general. Rebeca Grynspan has maintained the highest market share following her early lead in the July poll, bolstered by her UNCTAD leadership and role in the Black Sea Grain Initiative, while Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s rise reflects stronger results in the August round and her diplomatic profile as Guyana’s UN ambassador. Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others trail amid lower encourage votes, with the process requiring nine affirmative votes and no vetoes before General Assembly appointment. The third poll on September 18 and subsequent rounds will test whether any candidate consolidates backing from the P5 and elected members ahead of the 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$195,913วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UN Security Council’s ongoing straw polls, which gauge support among its 15 members without initially distinguishing permanent-member vetoes, remain the primary driver of trader positioning for the next secretary-general. Rebeca Grynspan has maintained the highest market share following her early lead in the July poll, bolstered by her UNCTAD leadership and role in the Black Sea Grain Initiative, while Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s rise reflects stronger results in the August round and her diplomatic profile as Guyana’s UN ambassador. Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others trail amid lower encourage votes, with the process requiring nine affirmative votes and no vetoes before General Assembly appointment. The third poll on September 18 and subsequent rounds will test whether any candidate consolidates backing from the P5 and elected members ahead of the 2027 transition.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$195,913วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The UN Security Council’s ongoing straw polls, which gauge support among its 15 members without initially distinguishing permanent-member vetoes, remain the primary driver of trader positioning for the next secretary-general. Rebeca Grynspan has maintained the highest market share following her early lead in the July poll, bolstered by her UNCTAD leadership and role in the Black Sea Grain Initiative, while Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett’s rise reflects stronger results in the August round and her diplomatic profile as Guyana’s UN ambassador. Rafael Grossi, María Fernanda Espinosa, and others trail amid lower encourage votes, with the process requiring nine affirmative votes and no vetoes before General Assembly appointment. The third poll on September 18 and subsequent rounds will test whether any candidate consolidates backing from the P5 and elected members ahead of the 2027 transition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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