Recent polling for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 12th Congressional District shows a tight contest between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads in surveys including a Siena/AARP poll among voters 50+ and an Emerson College poll of likely primary voters. Large undecided shares and gender splits in support keep the outcome fluid ahead of the final days. A June 9 debate highlighted differences in experience and family references among the top contenders, including Jack Schlossberg. Trader pricing on margin-of-victory outcomes reflects expectations of a low-single-digit result between the two frontrunners, with limited support for larger gaps or an upset by Schlossberg.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Lasher <5% 88%
Lasher 5–10% 6.9%
Lasher 10–15% 5.7%
Lasher 15%+ 3.2%
$90,445 ปริมาณ
$90,445 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
3%
Lasher 10–15%
6%
Lasher 5–10%
7%
Lasher <5%
88%
Bores <5%
3%
Lasher <5% 88%
Lasher 5–10% 6.9%
Lasher 10–15% 5.7%
Lasher 15%+ 3.2%
$90,445 ปริมาณ
$90,445 ปริมาณ
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
$4,100 ปริมาณ
3%
Lasher 10–15%
$4,053 ปริมาณ
6%
Lasher 5–10%
$4,510 ปริมาณ
7%
Lasher <5%
$12,190 ปริมาณ
88%
Bores <5%
$36,389 ปริมาณ
3%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 12th Congressional District shows a tight contest between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads in surveys including a Siena/AARP poll among voters 50+ and an Emerson College poll of likely primary voters. Large undecided shares and gender splits in support keep the outcome fluid ahead of the final days. A June 9 debate highlighted differences in experience and family references among the top contenders, including Jack Schlossberg. Trader pricing on margin-of-victory outcomes reflects expectations of a low-single-digit result between the two frontrunners, with limited support for larger gaps or an upset by Schlossberg.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent polling for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 12th Congressional District shows a tight contest between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads in surveys including a Siena/AARP poll among voters 50+ and an Emerson College poll of likely primary voters. Large undecided shares and gender splits in support keep the outcome fluid ahead of the final days. A June 9 debate highlighted differences in experience and family references among the top contenders, including Jack Schlossberg. Trader pricing on margin-of-victory outcomes reflects expectations of a low-single-digit result between the two frontrunners, with limited support for larger gaps or an upset by Schlossberg.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$90,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 12th Congressional District shows a tight contest between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with Lasher holding narrow leads in surveys including a Siena/AARP poll among voters 50+ and an Emerson College poll of likely primary voters. Large undecided shares and gender splits in support keep the outcome fluid ahead of the final days. A June 9 debate highlighted differences in experience and family references among the top contenders, including Jack Schlossberg. Trader pricing on margin-of-victory outcomes reflects expectations of a low-single-digit result between the two frontrunners, with limited support for larger gaps or an upset by Schlossberg.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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