Following Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU minority government's collapse via a no-confidence vote on May 5—passed 281-4 after Social Democrats allied with far-right AUR against austerity measures—President Nicușor Dan has prioritized coalition negotiations to form a new parliamentary majority, explicitly ruling out snap elections as recently as May 12. Constitutional rules require two successive failed investiture votes within 60 days for dissolution, a high bar unmet historically in Romania, where full-term polls are due in 2028. Ongoing consultations signal a likely successful nomination next week, anchoring trader consensus at 90.6% against dissolution by July 31 amid AUR's strong polling and aversion to early voting risks. Late investiture failures or no-confidence repeats could shift odds, but current momentum favors stability.