Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving LDPR, New People, and KPRF competing for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys, reaching double digits by appealing to younger and technocratic voters after Yabloko's August removal from the ballot shifted protest support toward the party. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens results in FOM data, positioning it as a frequent contender for third. KPRF support has softened from prior cycles amid economic pressures, while smaller parties remain well below viability. Traders view these dynamics, combined with the mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition, as the primary drivers behind current implied probabilities for third place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 52%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.0%
$106,102 ปริมาณ
$106,102 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
52%
New People (NL)
40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 52%
New People (NL) 40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 1.0%
$106,102 ปริมาณ
$106,102 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$29,613 ปริมาณ
52%
New People (NL)
$26,391 ปริมาณ
40%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$15,004 ปริมาณ
5%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$7,823 ปริมาณ
1%
United Russia (ER)
$7,095 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$13,663 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$3,969 ปริมาณ
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,543 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving LDPR, New People, and KPRF competing for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys, reaching double digits by appealing to younger and technocratic voters after Yabloko's August removal from the ballot shifted protest support toward the party. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens results in FOM data, positioning it as a frequent contender for third. KPRF support has softened from prior cycles amid economic pressures, while smaller parties remain well below viability. Traders view these dynamics, combined with the mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition, as the primary drivers behind current implied probabilities for third place.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,102วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving LDPR, New People, and KPRF competing for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys, reaching double digits by appealing to younger and technocratic voters after Yabloko's August removal from the ballot shifted protest support toward the party. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens results in FOM data, positioning it as a frequent contender for third. KPRF support has softened from prior cycles amid economic pressures, while smaller parties remain well below viability. Traders view these dynamics, combined with the mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition, as the primary drivers behind current implied probabilities for third place.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,102วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election shows United Russia maintaining a commanding lead, leaving LDPR, New People, and KPRF competing for the remaining spots above the five-percent threshold. New People has gained ground in several VCIOM surveys, reaching double digits by appealing to younger and technocratic voters after Yabloko's August removal from the ballot shifted protest support toward the party. LDPR benefits from established regional structures and consistent mid-teens results in FOM data, positioning it as a frequent contender for third. KPRF support has softened from prior cycles amid economic pressures, while smaller parties remain well below viability. Traders view these dynamics, combined with the mixed electoral system and limited genuine competition, as the primary drivers behind current implied probabilities for third place.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
57%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
93%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
100%
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