Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95% to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% on party lists per FOM and VCIOM) and dominance in single-member constituencies, as in 2021 when it won 324 of 450 seats despite 49.8% list vote. Structural advantages include redistricting favoring loyal regions like annexed Ukrainian territories, expanded electronic voting, and Kremlin-orchestrated primaries featuring war veterans and officials like Dmitry Medvedev atop lists. Systemic opposition parties like New People, LDPR, and CPRF prepare campaigns but trail far, with non-systemic challengers sidelined. Scenarios to upend this—severe economic crisis, elite fractures, or mass protests—face high barriers amid controlled media and procedures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 95.0%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.9%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.4%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
$1,327,838 ปริมาณ
$1,327,838 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
95%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 95.0%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.9%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.4%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP) <1%
$1,327,838 ปริมาณ
$1,327,838 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)
$513,245 ปริมาณ
95%
พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)
$79,124 ปริมาณ
3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$101,272 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$228,134 ปริมาณ
1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$78,666 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$219,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)
$107,952 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95% to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% on party lists per FOM and VCIOM) and dominance in single-member constituencies, as in 2021 when it won 324 of 450 seats despite 49.8% list vote. Structural advantages include redistricting favoring loyal regions like annexed Ukrainian territories, expanded electronic voting, and Kremlin-orchestrated primaries featuring war veterans and officials like Dmitry Medvedev atop lists. Systemic opposition parties like New People, LDPR, and CPRF prepare campaigns but trail far, with non-systemic challengers sidelined. Scenarios to upend this—severe economic crisis, elite fractures, or mass protests—face high barriers amid controlled media and procedures.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,327,838วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95% to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% on party lists per FOM and VCIOM) and dominance in single-member constituencies, as in 2021 when it won 324 of 450 seats despite 49.8% list vote. Structural advantages include redistricting favoring loyal regions like annexed Ukrainian territories, expanded electronic voting, and Kremlin-orchestrated primaries featuring war veterans and officials like Dmitry Medvedev atop lists. Systemic opposition parties like New People, LDPR, and CPRF prepare campaigns but trail far, with non-systemic challengers sidelined. Scenarios to upend this—severe economic crisis, elite fractures, or mass protests—face high barriers amid controlled media and procedures.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,327,838วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices United Russia at 95% to secure the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its consistent lead in April polls (35–52% on party lists per FOM and VCIOM) and dominance in single-member constituencies, as in 2021 when it won 324 of 450 seats despite 49.8% list vote. Structural advantages include redistricting favoring loyal regions like annexed Ukrainian territories, expanded electronic voting, and Kremlin-orchestrated primaries featuring war veterans and officials like Dmitry Medvedev atop lists. Systemic opposition parties like New People, LDPR, and CPRF prepare campaigns but trail far, with non-systemic challengers sidelined. Scenarios to upend this—severe economic crisis, elite fractures, or mass protests—face high barriers amid controlled media and procedures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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