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ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย

icon for ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย

ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย

พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 96.0%

พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.3%

พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.0%

พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$1,353,693 ปริมาณ

พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) 96.0%

พรรคคนใหม่ (NL) 2.3%

พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.0%

พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$1,353,693 ปริมาณ

icon for พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)

พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)

$522,508 ปริมาณ

96%

icon for พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)

พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)

$80,975 ปริมาณ

2%

icon for พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)

พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)

$104,887 ปริมาณ

1%

icon for พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)

พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยรัสเซีย (LDPR)

$79,727 ปริมาณ

<1%

icon for พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)

พรรครัสเซียยุติธรรม – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)

$229,562 ปริมาณ

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$222,757 ปริมาณ

<1%

icon for พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)

พรรคเวทีพลเมือง (GP)

$113,277 ปริมาณ

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,353,693
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,353,693
วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)" ที่ 96% ตามด้วย "พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)" ที่ 2% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 96¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 96% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $1.4 million ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Jan 7, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย" ดู 7 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย" คือ "พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER)" ที่ 96% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 96% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "พรรคคนใหม่ (NL)" ที่ 2% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "ผู้ชนะการเลือกตั้งสมาชิกรัฐสภารัสเซีย" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้