Incumbent Democrat James Clyburn secured reelection in South Carolina’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, with vote totals placing the margin of victory at approximately 38.5 points. Final reported results showed Clyburn receiving roughly 69 percent against Republican challenger John Peterson’s 31 percent, aligning precisely with the market’s dominant 35-40 percent outcome priced at full value. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by Clyburn’s long tenure and primary performance, limited any competitive pressure from the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed election-night and subsequent counts, with minimal probability assigned to alternative margins. Late certification adjustments or official recounts could still alter the precise figure within the resolution window, though current tallies indicate limited scope for material change.
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