Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of September shows a tight race, with OpenAI at 52% implied probability edging out a field of closely matched contenders at 50%. This reflects uncertainty over which lab will demonstrate superior agent capabilities in areas such as multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous task completion. Moonshot at 32% benefits from visible progress in specialized frameworks, while lower odds for Anthropic (9%) and others highlight gaps in demonstrated agent reliability versus marketing claims. Competitive dynamics center on benchmark results, developer ecosystem momentum, and integration speed, with traders monitoring any late-August or September model releases or public demos that could alter real-world performance rankings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 53%
Moonshot 32.1%
Anthropic 9%
Microsoft 7.6%
$16,013 ปริมาณ
$16,013 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
53%
Moonshot
32%
Anthropic
9%
Microsoft
8%
SpaceXAI
5%
Z.ai
3%
Nvidia
2%
Mistral
2%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
OpenAI 53%
Moonshot 32.1%
Anthropic 9%
Microsoft 7.6%
$16,013 ปริมาณ
$16,013 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$9,553 ปริมาณ
53%
Moonshot
$348 ปริมาณ
32%
Anthropic
$1,836 ปริมาณ
9%
Microsoft
$211 ปริมาณ
8%
SpaceXAI
$400 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$190 ปริมาณ
3%
Nvidia
$205 ปริมาณ
2%
Mistral
$431 ปริมาณ
2%
Meta
$185 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$180 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$215 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$165 ปริมาณ
1%
$190 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$1,250 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of September shows a tight race, with OpenAI at 52% implied probability edging out a field of closely matched contenders at 50%. This reflects uncertainty over which lab will demonstrate superior agent capabilities in areas such as multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous task completion. Moonshot at 32% benefits from visible progress in specialized frameworks, while lower odds for Anthropic (9%) and others highlight gaps in demonstrated agent reliability versus marketing claims. Competitive dynamics center on benchmark results, developer ecosystem momentum, and integration speed, with traders monitoring any late-August or September model releases or public demos that could alter real-world performance rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,013วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of September shows a tight race, with OpenAI at 52% implied probability edging out a field of closely matched contenders at 50%. This reflects uncertainty over which lab will demonstrate superior agent capabilities in areas such as multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous task completion. Moonshot at 32% benefits from visible progress in specialized frameworks, while lower odds for Anthropic (9%) and others highlight gaps in demonstrated agent reliability versus marketing claims. Competitive dynamics center on benchmark results, developer ecosystem momentum, and integration speed, with traders monitoring any late-August or September model releases or public demos that could alter real-world performance rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,013วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the second-best AI agent lab by end of September shows a tight race, with OpenAI at 52% implied probability edging out a field of closely matched contenders at 50%. This reflects uncertainty over which lab will demonstrate superior agent capabilities in areas such as multi-step reasoning, tool use, and autonomous task completion. Moonshot at 32% benefits from visible progress in specialized frameworks, while lower odds for Anthropic (9%) and others highlight gaps in demonstrated agent reliability versus marketing claims. Competitive dynamics center on benchmark results, developer ecosystem momentum, and integration speed, with traders monitoring any late-August or September model releases or public demos that could alter real-world performance rankings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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