Moonshot's Kimi K3 large language model, released in July 2026 with 2.8 trillion parameters and advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its 80.7% implied probability as the third-best AI agent lab by September 30. The open-weight release, combined with Kimi Work desktop agent features for local file handling, browser automation, and scheduled tasks, has boosted performance on agent benchmarks such as APEX-Agents and Toolathlon, outpacing several U.S. labs in cost-efficient, long-context agentic workflows. Recent funding rounds valuing the company near $50 billion and international user growth reinforce trader consensus around its competitive positioning. With resolution tied to the arena.ai Agent Arena leaderboard for labs on September 30, any late benchmark shifts or new releases from labs like Z.ai or DeepSeek could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMoonshot 80.7%
DeepSeek 5.1%
Z.ai 4.8%
Alibaba 4.1%
$48,207 ปริมาณ
$48,207 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
81%
DeepSeek
5%
Z.ai
5%
Alibaba
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
3%
Mistral
3%
Anthropic
3%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
2%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot 80.7%
DeepSeek 5.1%
Z.ai 4.8%
Alibaba 4.1%
$48,207 ปริมาณ
$48,207 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
$29,179 ปริมาณ
81%
DeepSeek
$461 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$2,787 ปริมาณ
5%
Alibaba
$1,077 ปริมาณ
4%
SpaceXAI
$563 ปริมาณ
4%
$472 ปริมาณ
3%
Mistral
$590 ปริมาณ
3%
Anthropic
$2,449 ปริมาณ
3%
Meta
$387 ปริมาณ
6%
OpenAI
$7,061 ปริมาณ
2%
Nvidia
$460 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$387 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$353 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$549 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$363 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$368 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$318 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's Kimi K3 large language model, released in July 2026 with 2.8 trillion parameters and advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its 80.7% implied probability as the third-best AI agent lab by September 30. The open-weight release, combined with Kimi Work desktop agent features for local file handling, browser automation, and scheduled tasks, has boosted performance on agent benchmarks such as APEX-Agents and Toolathlon, outpacing several U.S. labs in cost-efficient, long-context agentic workflows. Recent funding rounds valuing the company near $50 billion and international user growth reinforce trader consensus around its competitive positioning. With resolution tied to the arena.ai Agent Arena leaderboard for labs on September 30, any late benchmark shifts or new releases from labs like Z.ai or DeepSeek could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,207วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot's Kimi K3 large language model, released in July 2026 with 2.8 trillion parameters and advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its 80.7% implied probability as the third-best AI agent lab by September 30. The open-weight release, combined with Kimi Work desktop agent features for local file handling, browser automation, and scheduled tasks, has boosted performance on agent benchmarks such as APEX-Agents and Toolathlon, outpacing several U.S. labs in cost-efficient, long-context agentic workflows. Recent funding rounds valuing the company near $50 billion and international user growth reinforce trader consensus around its competitive positioning. With resolution tied to the arena.ai Agent Arena leaderboard for labs on September 30, any late benchmark shifts or new releases from labs like Z.ai or DeepSeek could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,207วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot's Kimi K3 large language model, released in July 2026 with 2.8 trillion parameters and advanced Agent Swarm capabilities supporting up to 300 sub-agents, has driven its 80.7% implied probability as the third-best AI agent lab by September 30. The open-weight release, combined with Kimi Work desktop agent features for local file handling, browser automation, and scheduled tasks, has boosted performance on agent benchmarks such as APEX-Agents and Toolathlon, outpacing several U.S. labs in cost-efficient, long-context agentic workflows. Recent funding rounds valuing the company near $50 billion and international user growth reinforce trader consensus around its competitive positioning. With resolution tied to the arena.ai Agent Arena leaderboard for labs on September 30, any late benchmark shifts or new releases from labs like Z.ai or DeepSeek could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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