Traders strongly back Google as the second-best AI lab by end-September, with 89% implied probability driven by its DeepMind research output, Gemini model iterations, and enterprise AI deployments that have sustained competitive positioning against frontrunners. Low odds for Meta, OpenAI, and others reflect limited recent breakthroughs or benchmark gains in the past month that could shift consensus. With resolution imminent, any final model releases, safety evaluations, or partnership news could still alter outcomes, though the market-implied odds show clear trader preference for Google's established technical depth and platform scale over emerging challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoogle 89%
Meta 6.2%
OpenAI 4.2%
Alibaba 2.3%
$105,739 ปริมาณ
$105,739 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
89%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
4%
Alibaba
2%
Moonshot
2%
Anthropic
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 89%
Meta 6.2%
OpenAI 4.2%
Alibaba 2.3%
$105,739 ปริมาณ
$105,739 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
$32,269 ปริมาณ
89%
Meta
$13,327 ปริมาณ
6%
OpenAI
$8,244 ปริมาณ
4%
Alibaba
$14,461 ปริมาณ
2%
Moonshot
$3,901 ปริมาณ
2%
Anthropic
$5,421 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$3,881 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$3,876 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$3,777 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$2,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$2,559 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$1,494 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$534 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$1,128 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$1,430 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$1,452 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,442 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$1,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$1,507 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$1,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders strongly back Google as the second-best AI lab by end-September, with 89% implied probability driven by its DeepMind research output, Gemini model iterations, and enterprise AI deployments that have sustained competitive positioning against frontrunners. Low odds for Meta, OpenAI, and others reflect limited recent breakthroughs or benchmark gains in the past month that could shift consensus. With resolution imminent, any final model releases, safety evaluations, or partnership news could still alter outcomes, though the market-implied odds show clear trader preference for Google's established technical depth and platform scale over emerging challengers.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,739วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders strongly back Google as the second-best AI lab by end-September, with 89% implied probability driven by its DeepMind research output, Gemini model iterations, and enterprise AI deployments that have sustained competitive positioning against frontrunners. Low odds for Meta, OpenAI, and others reflect limited recent breakthroughs or benchmark gains in the past month that could shift consensus. With resolution imminent, any final model releases, safety evaluations, or partnership news could still alter outcomes, though the market-implied odds show clear trader preference for Google's established technical depth and platform scale over emerging challengers.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,739วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labsผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders strongly back Google as the second-best AI lab by end-September, with 89% implied probability driven by its DeepMind research output, Gemini model iterations, and enterprise AI deployments that have sustained competitive positioning against frontrunners. Low odds for Meta, OpenAI, and others reflect limited recent breakthroughs or benchmark gains in the past month that could shift consensus. With resolution imminent, any final model releases, safety evaluations, or partnership news could still alter outcomes, though the market-implied odds show clear trader preference for Google's established technical depth and platform scale over emerging challengers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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