In the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 19th Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 98% implied probability, building on his dominant 40.4% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—well ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's commanding position stems from superior fundraising, with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000 as of late March, bolstered by his experience as a former House Agriculture Committee staffer and law firm founder. No major developments have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, reflecting the solidly Republican district's dynamics. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez, or unexpected Hispanic voter mobilization could still alter the outcome before early voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-19 Republican Primary Winner
TX-19 Republican Primary Winner
Tom Sell 98.2%
Abraham Enriquez 1.4%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,791 ปริมาณ
$72,791 ปริมาณ
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
Tom Sell 98.2%
Abraham Enriquez 1.4%
Matthew Smith <1%
Ryan Zink <1%
$72,791 ปริมาณ
$72,791 ปริมาณ
Tom Sell
98%
Abraham Enriquez
1%
Matthew Smith
<1%
Ryan Zink
<1%
James Barbee
<1%
Jason Corley
<1%
Donald May
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Republican primary runoff for Texas's 19th Congressional District on May 26, trader consensus heavily favors Tom Sell at 98% implied probability, building on his dominant 40.4% first-place finish in the March 3 primary—well ahead of Abraham Enriquez's 18.7%—in the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Jodey Arrington. Sell's commanding position stems from superior fundraising, with $692,000 cash on hand versus Enriquez's $151,000 as of late March, bolstered by his experience as a former House Agriculture Committee staffer and law firm founder. No major developments have shifted dynamics in recent weeks, reflecting the solidly Republican district's dynamics. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile endorsement for Enriquez, or unexpected Hispanic voter mobilization could still alter the outcome before early voting begins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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