Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEverett Jackson 85.9%
Sholdon Daniels 11%
Gregor Heise 9.4%
Nils Walker <1%
$23,956 ปริมาณ
$23,956 ปริมาณ
Everett Jackson
89%
Sholdon Daniels
11%
Gregor Heise
9%
Nils Walker
<1%
Everett Jackson 85.9%
Sholdon Daniels 11%
Gregor Heise 9.4%
Nils Walker <1%
$23,956 ปริมาณ
$23,956 ปริมาณ
Everett Jackson
89%
Sholdon Daniels
11%
Gregor Heise
9%
Nils Walker
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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