OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT Image 2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 98% implied probability for the company. These models lead Artificial Analysis image-editing leaderboards with superior precision editing, subject preservation across multi-turn refinements, reduced latency, and stronger instruction following on complex tasks like composition changes and text/symbol edits. The timing—just weeks before end-of-September resolution—solidifies the lead in blind-vote arenas and real-world benchmarks over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. While the gap appears decisive, a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final two weeks could still alter outcomes before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 98.0%
Google 2.5%
SpaceXAI <1%
Microsoft AI <1%
$25,903 ปริมาณ
$25,903 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
98%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft AI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Reve
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Black Forest Labs
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
StepFun
<1%
OpenAI 98.0%
Google 2.5%
SpaceXAI <1%
Microsoft AI <1%
$25,903 ปริมาณ
$25,903 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$11,181 ปริมาณ
98%
$9,096 ปริมาณ
2%
SpaceXAI
$568 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft AI
$558 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$532 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$419 ปริมาณ
<1%
Reve
$439 ปริมาณ
<1%
Luma AI
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$439 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$478 ปริมาณ
<1%
Black Forest Labs
$545 ปริมาณ
<1%
KlingAI
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pruna
$530 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT Image 2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 98% implied probability for the company. These models lead Artificial Analysis image-editing leaderboards with superior precision editing, subject preservation across multi-turn refinements, reduced latency, and stronger instruction following on complex tasks like composition changes and text/symbol edits. The timing—just weeks before end-of-September resolution—solidifies the lead in blind-vote arenas and real-world benchmarks over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. While the gap appears decisive, a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final two weeks could still alter outcomes before the market closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,903วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT Image 2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 98% implied probability for the company. These models lead Artificial Analysis image-editing leaderboards with superior precision editing, subject preservation across multi-turn refinements, reduced latency, and stronger instruction following on complex tasks like composition changes and text/symbol edits. The timing—just weeks before end-of-September resolution—solidifies the lead in blind-vote arenas and real-world benchmarks over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. While the gap appears decisive, a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final two weeks could still alter outcomes before the market closes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under "Image Edit Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image Edit Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,903วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT Image 2.5 Sunburst and Flare variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 98% implied probability for the company. These models lead Artificial Analysis image-editing leaderboards with superior precision editing, subject preservation across multi-turn refinements, reduced latency, and stronger instruction following on complex tasks like composition changes and text/symbol edits. The timing—just weeks before end-of-September resolution—solidifies the lead in blind-vote arenas and real-world benchmarks over rivals such as Google’s Nano Banana family, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, and Meta’s Muse Image. While the gap appears decisive, a surprise competitive release or rapid benchmark reversal in the final two weeks could still alter outcomes before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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