Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its distinctive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and audio capabilities, which set it apart from competitors relying on post-processed sound effects. Recent 2026 releases, including Veo variants and benchmark placements around 1100 Elo, have reinforced its edge in professional-grade output and prompt adherence amid a crowded field featuring ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kling iterations. Lower odds for Luma AI, Runway, and OpenAI reflect ongoing competition in visual fidelity and multimodal features, while regulatory scrutiny on copyrighted content generation adds uncertainty. Traders are watching for any late-August or September model updates or third-party evaluations that could shift the leaderboard before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoogle 71%
ByteDance 13%
Luma AI 11.5%
Runway 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
71%
ByteDance
13%
Luma AI
11%
Runway
10%
MiniMax
4%
Meta
4%
KlingAI
4%
Pruna
4%
Tencent
4%
Genmo AI
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Lightricks
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
1%
Pixverse
1%
OpenAI
1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Pika
11%
Google 71%
ByteDance 13%
Luma AI 11.5%
Runway 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
$4,623 ปริมาณ
71%
ByteDance
$178 ปริมาณ
13%
Luma AI
$111 ปริมาณ
11%
Runway
$161 ปริมาณ
10%
MiniMax
$174 ปริมาณ
4%
Meta
$51 ปริมาณ
4%
KlingAI
$194 ปริมาณ
4%
Pruna
$163 ปริมาณ
4%
Tencent
$116 ปริมาณ
4%
Genmo AI
$131 ปริมาณ
3%
SpaceXAI
$222 ปริมาณ
2%
Lightricks
$188 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
Pixverse
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
OpenAI
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
Kandinsky
$116 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pika
$227 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its distinctive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and audio capabilities, which set it apart from competitors relying on post-processed sound effects. Recent 2026 releases, including Veo variants and benchmark placements around 1100 Elo, have reinforced its edge in professional-grade output and prompt adherence amid a crowded field featuring ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kling iterations. Lower odds for Luma AI, Runway, and OpenAI reflect ongoing competition in visual fidelity and multimodal features, while regulatory scrutiny on copyrighted content generation adds uncertainty. Traders are watching for any late-August or September model updates or third-party evaluations that could shift the leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its distinctive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and audio capabilities, which set it apart from competitors relying on post-processed sound effects. Recent 2026 releases, including Veo variants and benchmark placements around 1100 Elo, have reinforced its edge in professional-grade output and prompt adherence amid a crowded field featuring ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kling iterations. Lower odds for Luma AI, Runway, and OpenAI reflect ongoing competition in visual fidelity and multimodal features, while regulatory scrutiny on copyrighted content generation adds uncertainty. Traders are watching for any late-August or September model updates or third-party evaluations that could shift the leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to its distinctive native 48kHz synchronized dialogue and audio capabilities, which set it apart from competitors relying on post-processed sound effects. Recent 2026 releases, including Veo variants and benchmark placements around 1100 Elo, have reinforced its edge in professional-grade output and prompt adherence amid a crowded field featuring ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 and Kling iterations. Lower odds for Luma AI, Runway, and OpenAI reflect ongoing competition in visual fidelity and multimodal features, while regulatory scrutiny on copyrighted content generation adds uncertainty. Traders are watching for any late-August or September model updates or third-party evaluations that could shift the leaderboard before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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