The closely matched odds between the two leading assemblymembers reflect a sharply divided Manhattan electorate split along Upper East Side and Upper West Side lines, with limited crossover support in the June 23 Democratic primary. Micah Lasher benefits from an early endorsement by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler and additional backing from Governor Kathy Hochul and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, while Alex Bores draws strength from heavy outside spending on his AI safety legislation and appeals to voters focused on technology regulation. Recent candidate forums have underscored broad policy agreement, making name recognition, targeted advertising, and turnout among older voters the decisive factors that could shift the slim margin before early voting begins. Other contenders such as Jack Schlossberg remain far behind in both fundraising and local organizational support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,158 ปริมาณ
$363,158 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,158 ปริมาณ
$363,158 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely matched odds between the two leading assemblymembers reflect a sharply divided Manhattan electorate split along Upper East Side and Upper West Side lines, with limited crossover support in the June 23 Democratic primary. Micah Lasher benefits from an early endorsement by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler and additional backing from Governor Kathy Hochul and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg, while Alex Bores draws strength from heavy outside spending on his AI safety legislation and appeals to voters focused on technology regulation. Recent candidate forums have underscored broad policy agreement, making name recognition, targeted advertising, and turnout among older voters the decisive factors that could shift the slim margin before early voting begins. Other contenders such as Jack Schlossberg remain far behind in both fundraising and local organizational support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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