The NY-12 Democratic primary for the open Manhattan seat remains a close contest between state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, whose 47% and 44.5% trader consensus shares reflect a persistent geographic and stylistic split between Upper East Side and Upper West Side voters. Bores has drawn support through labor endorsements and emphasis on AI regulation, while Lasher benefits from Jerry Nadler’s early backing and establishment experience. Recent mid-May polling shows the top three candidates—including high-name-recognition entrant Jack Schlossberg at 13%—statistically tied within the margin of error, with older voters expected to dominate turnout on June 23. Late developments such as additional union alignments, candidate forums, or shifts in fundraising could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,158 ปริมาณ
$363,158 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 13%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,158 ปริมาณ
$363,158 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
13%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-12 Democratic primary for the open Manhattan seat remains a close contest between state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, whose 47% and 44.5% trader consensus shares reflect a persistent geographic and stylistic split between Upper East Side and Upper West Side voters. Bores has drawn support through labor endorsements and emphasis on AI regulation, while Lasher benefits from Jerry Nadler’s early backing and establishment experience. Recent mid-May polling shows the top three candidates—including high-name-recognition entrant Jack Schlossberg at 13%—statistically tied within the margin of error, with older voters expected to dominate turnout on June 23. Late developments such as additional union alignments, candidate forums, or shifts in fundraising could widen the gap before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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