In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 14%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,225 ปริมาณ
$363,225 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
14%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
Alex Bores 46%
Micah Lasher 45%
Jack Schlossberg 14%
Cameron Kasky <1%
$363,225 ปริมาณ
$363,225 ปริมาณ
Alex Bores
46%
Micah Lasher
45%
Jack Schlossberg
14%
Cameron Kasky
<1%
Keith Powers
<1%
Liz Krueger
<1%
Erik Bottcher
<1%
Carolyn Maloney
<1%
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
<1%
Gale Brewer
<1%
Brad Lander
<1%
Lina Khan
<1%
Julie Menin
<1%
Chelsea Clinton
<1%
Liam Elkind
<1%
Scott Stringer
<1%
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
Cynthia Nixon
<1%
George Conway
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic primary for New York's 12th Congressional District on June 23, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, driven by their geographic bases on the Upper East Side and Upper West Side respectively. Nadler's endorsement of Lasher and support from major donors like Michael Bloomberg have bolstered his position, while Bores has drawn attention through legislative priorities such as AI regulation and faces opposition spending. Jack Schlossberg adds name recognition but trails in implied probabilities amid a crowded field. Older voters, projected to comprise 65-75% of turnout, and recent candidate forums on issues like foreign policy have kept the race competitive, with separation likely hinging on final campaign momentum and district-specific turnout patterns in this open-seat contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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