Iran's incumbent President Masoud Pezeshkian holds office through 2028 following his 2024 election, with no reported resignation, incapacity, or death that would activate Article 131 procedures for a snap vote within 50 days. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, pricing a low probability of any presidential election by late 2026 amid priorities centered on Supreme Leader succession after Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination and the ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Recent statements from Iranian officials have focused on wartime conditions and mediation efforts rather than electoral scheduling, while planning discussions point toward possible combined parliamentary and presidential voting in 2028. No official announcements or procedural steps have signaled an earlier contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran hold a presidential election by...?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
$767,426 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$767,426 ปริมาณ
December 31
$212 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's incumbent President Masoud Pezeshkian holds office through 2028 following his 2024 election, with no reported resignation, incapacity, or death that would activate Article 131 procedures for a snap vote within 50 days. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, pricing a low probability of any presidential election by late 2026 amid priorities centered on Supreme Leader succession after Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination and the ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Recent statements from Iranian officials have focused on wartime conditions and mediation efforts rather than electoral scheduling, while planning discussions point toward possible combined parliamentary and presidential voting in 2028. No official announcements or procedural steps have signaled an earlier contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767,426วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran's incumbent President Masoud Pezeshkian holds office through 2028 following his 2024 election, with no reported resignation, incapacity, or death that would activate Article 131 procedures for a snap vote within 50 days. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, pricing a low probability of any presidential election by late 2026 amid priorities centered on Supreme Leader succession after Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination and the ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Recent statements from Iranian officials have focused on wartime conditions and mediation efforts rather than electoral scheduling, while planning discussions point toward possible combined parliamentary and presidential voting in 2028. No official announcements or procedural steps have signaled an earlier contest.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$767,426วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran's incumbent President Masoud Pezeshkian holds office through 2028 following his 2024 election, with no reported resignation, incapacity, or death that would activate Article 131 procedures for a snap vote within 50 days. Trader consensus reflects this timeline, pricing a low probability of any presidential election by late 2026 amid priorities centered on Supreme Leader succession after Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination and the ongoing conflict with the United States and Israel. Recent statements from Iranian officials have focused on wartime conditions and mediation efforts rather than electoral scheduling, while planning discussions point toward possible combined parliamentary and presidential voting in 2028. No official announcements or procedural steps have signaled an earlier contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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