Iran’s constitutional rules limit presidential elections to a 50-day window triggered solely by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, after which the Guardian Council oversees the process and appoints an interim leader. With President Masoud Pezeshkian remaining in office and maintaining a full public schedule—including recent meetings with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—no such vacancy has arisen in recent weeks. The next regular contest under the four-year cycle established after the 2024 vote falls well beyond June 30, 2026. Trader consensus therefore prices the likelihood of an election by that date at just 1.8 percent. The only plausible development capable of shifting these odds would be an unforeseen leadership transition before the resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$698,335 ปริมาณ
$698,335 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$698,335 ปริมาณ
$698,335 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitutional rules limit presidential elections to a 50-day window triggered solely by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, after which the Guardian Council oversees the process and appoints an interim leader. With President Masoud Pezeshkian remaining in office and maintaining a full public schedule—including recent meetings with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—no such vacancy has arisen in recent weeks. The next regular contest under the four-year cycle established after the 2024 vote falls well beyond June 30, 2026. Trader consensus therefore prices the likelihood of an election by that date at just 1.8 percent. The only plausible development capable of shifting these odds would be an unforeseen leadership transition before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
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Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitutional rules limit presidential elections to a 50-day window triggered solely by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, after which the Guardian Council oversees the process and appoints an interim leader. With President Masoud Pezeshkian remaining in office and maintaining a full public schedule—including recent meetings with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—no such vacancy has arisen in recent weeks. The next regular contest under the four-year cycle established after the 2024 vote falls well beyond June 30, 2026. Trader consensus therefore prices the likelihood of an election by that date at just 1.8 percent. The only plausible development capable of shifting these odds would be an unforeseen leadership transition before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$698,335วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s constitutional rules limit presidential elections to a 50-day window triggered solely by the death, resignation, or confirmed incapacity of the sitting president, after which the Guardian Council oversees the process and appoints an interim leader. With President Masoud Pezeshkian remaining in office and maintaining a full public schedule—including recent meetings with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei—no such vacancy has arisen in recent weeks. The next regular contest under the four-year cycle established after the 2024 vote falls well beyond June 30, 2026. Trader consensus therefore prices the likelihood of an election by that date at just 1.8 percent. The only plausible development capable of shifting these odds would be an unforeseen leadership transition before the resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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