Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia principles under the Islamic Penal Code, which criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and execution, creating fundamental incompatibility with any recognition of same-sex marriage. The Guardian Council vets all legislation for compliance with these religious standards, while the conservative-dominated Majlis shows no movement toward reform. Recent leadership transition following the 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has focused institutional priorities on security and succession rather than social policy shifts. Trader consensus at 98% No reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with only an improbable regime change or constitutional overhaul before December 31, 2026, offering any realistic path to alteration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2% โอกาส
$79,172 ปริมาณ
$79,172 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
2% โอกาส
$79,172 ปริมาณ
$79,172 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia principles under the Islamic Penal Code, which criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and execution, creating fundamental incompatibility with any recognition of same-sex marriage. The Guardian Council vets all legislation for compliance with these religious standards, while the conservative-dominated Majlis shows no movement toward reform. Recent leadership transition following the 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has focused institutional priorities on security and succession rather than social policy shifts. Trader consensus at 98% No reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with only an improbable regime change or constitutional overhaul before December 31, 2026, offering any realistic path to alteration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia principles under the Islamic Penal Code, which criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and execution, creating fundamental incompatibility with any recognition of same-sex marriage. The Guardian Council vets all legislation for compliance with these religious standards, while the conservative-dominated Majlis shows no movement toward reform. Recent leadership transition following the 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has focused institutional priorities on security and succession rather than social policy shifts. Trader consensus at 98% No reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with only an improbable regime change or constitutional overhaul before December 31, 2026, offering any realistic path to alteration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Republic maintains a legal system grounded in Sharia principles under the Islamic Penal Code, which criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties including flogging and execution, creating fundamental incompatibility with any recognition of same-sex marriage. The Guardian Council vets all legislation for compliance with these religious standards, while the conservative-dominated Majlis shows no movement toward reform. Recent leadership transition following the 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has focused institutional priorities on security and succession rather than social policy shifts. Trader consensus at 98% No reflects these entrenched structural barriers, with only an improbable regime change or constitutional overhaul before December 31, 2026, offering any realistic path to alteration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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