The narrow Republican House majority and the prospect of Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms represent the central factors behind the 64% trader consensus that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Renewed Democratic calls for removal followed President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, which prompted more than seventy lawmakers to file or support resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Multiple articles have already been introduced and referred to committee, though none have advanced under current Republican control. Historical precedent of prior House impeachments and the structural ease of a simple-majority vote once a chamber flips continue to shape market pricing. Upcoming primary and general election results through November 2026 remain the most immediate variables that could alter these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$62,328 ปริมาณ
$62,328 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
$62,328 ปริมาณ
$62,328 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The narrow Republican House majority and the prospect of Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms represent the central factors behind the 64% trader consensus that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Renewed Democratic calls for removal followed President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, which prompted more than seventy lawmakers to file or support resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Multiple articles have already been introduced and referred to committee, though none have advanced under current Republican control. Historical precedent of prior House impeachments and the structural ease of a simple-majority vote once a chamber flips continue to shape market pricing. Upcoming primary and general election results through November 2026 remain the most immediate variables that could alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,328วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The narrow Republican House majority and the prospect of Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms represent the central factors behind the 64% trader consensus that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Renewed Democratic calls for removal followed President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, which prompted more than seventy lawmakers to file or support resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Multiple articles have already been introduced and referred to committee, though none have advanced under current Republican control. Historical precedent of prior House impeachments and the structural ease of a simple-majority vote once a chamber flips continue to shape market pricing. Upcoming primary and general election results through November 2026 remain the most immediate variables that could alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,328วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The narrow Republican House majority and the prospect of Democratic gains in the 2026 midterms represent the central factors behind the 64% trader consensus that articles of impeachment will pass before January 2029. Renewed Democratic calls for removal followed President Trump’s April 2026 statements threatening Iran, which prompted more than seventy lawmakers to file or support resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Multiple articles have already been introduced and referred to committee, though none have advanced under current Republican control. Historical precedent of prior House impeachments and the structural ease of a simple-majority vote once a chamber flips continue to shape market pricing. Upcoming primary and general election results through November 2026 remain the most immediate variables that could alter these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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