Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, with prediction markets placing their odds near 85-88 percent amid Republican narrow majorities and Trump’s approval ratings in the low 40s. A Democratic majority would enable a simple-majority vote on articles of impeachment, a threshold already tested by multiple resolutions introduced this term, including recent filings by Rep. Al Green citing immigration enforcement actions by ICE and CBP. Traders price near-term passage in 2026 at just 2-6 percent under continued Republican control, but the longer window to January 2029 incorporates the post-midterm arithmetic and Democratic leadership signals favoring oversight, investigations, and potential impeachment proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว67% โอกาส
$94,684 ปริมาณ
$94,684 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2029
67% โอกาส
$94,684 ปริมาณ
$94,684 ปริมาณ
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, with prediction markets placing their odds near 85-88 percent amid Republican narrow majorities and Trump’s approval ratings in the low 40s. A Democratic majority would enable a simple-majority vote on articles of impeachment, a threshold already tested by multiple resolutions introduced this term, including recent filings by Rep. Al Green citing immigration enforcement actions by ICE and CBP. Traders price near-term passage in 2026 at just 2-6 percent under continued Republican control, but the longer window to January 2029 incorporates the post-midterm arithmetic and Democratic leadership signals favoring oversight, investigations, and potential impeachment proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,684วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, with prediction markets placing their odds near 85-88 percent amid Republican narrow majorities and Trump’s approval ratings in the low 40s. A Democratic majority would enable a simple-majority vote on articles of impeachment, a threshold already tested by multiple resolutions introduced this term, including recent filings by Rep. Al Green citing immigration enforcement actions by ICE and CBP. Traders price near-term passage in 2026 at just 2-6 percent under continued Republican control, but the longer window to January 2029 incorporates the post-midterm arithmetic and Democratic leadership signals favoring oversight, investigations, and potential impeachment proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$94,684วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, with prediction markets placing their odds near 85-88 percent amid Republican narrow majorities and Trump’s approval ratings in the low 40s. A Democratic majority would enable a simple-majority vote on articles of impeachment, a threshold already tested by multiple resolutions introduced this term, including recent filings by Rep. Al Green citing immigration enforcement actions by ICE and CBP. Traders price near-term passage in 2026 at just 2-6 percent under continued Republican control, but the longer window to January 2029 incorporates the post-midterm arithmetic and Democratic leadership signals favoring oversight, investigations, and potential impeachment proceedings. Senate conviction remains outside the market’s scope.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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