The expectation that Democrats will regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 64 percent trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently blocks floor action on Democratic resolutions, including the 13-article measure filed in April citing foreign policy and fitness concerns, but historical patterns show incoming opposition majorities routinely advance such votes. Midterm polling and related prediction markets price a high likelihood of that shift, after which simple-majority passage becomes feasible even without bipartisan support. Senate conviction remains structurally difficult, yet the market focuses solely on House approval within the term. No major new legislative or legal catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to alter these positioning factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$62,328 ปริมาณ
$62,328 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
$62,328 ปริมาณ
$62,328 ปริมาณ
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The expectation that Democrats will regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 64 percent trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently blocks floor action on Democratic resolutions, including the 13-article measure filed in April citing foreign policy and fitness concerns, but historical patterns show incoming opposition majorities routinely advance such votes. Midterm polling and related prediction markets price a high likelihood of that shift, after which simple-majority passage becomes feasible even without bipartisan support. Senate conviction remains structurally difficult, yet the market focuses solely on House approval within the term. No major new legislative or legal catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to alter these positioning factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,328วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The expectation that Democrats will regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 64 percent trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently blocks floor action on Democratic resolutions, including the 13-article measure filed in April citing foreign policy and fitness concerns, but historical patterns show incoming opposition majorities routinely advance such votes. Midterm polling and related prediction markets price a high likelihood of that shift, after which simple-majority passage becomes feasible even without bipartisan support. Senate conviction remains structurally difficult, yet the market focuses solely on House approval within the term. No major new legislative or legal catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to alter these positioning factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,328วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2029ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The expectation that Democrats will regain House control in the November 2026 midterms drives the 64 percent trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. A narrow Republican majority currently blocks floor action on Democratic resolutions, including the 13-article measure filed in April citing foreign policy and fitness concerns, but historical patterns show incoming opposition majorities routinely advance such votes. Midterm polling and related prediction markets price a high likelihood of that shift, after which simple-majority passage becomes feasible even without bipartisan support. Senate conviction remains structurally difficult, yet the market focuses solely on House approval within the term. No major new legislative or legal catalyst has emerged in recent weeks to alter these positioning factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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