President Trump's continued focus on legislative priorities such as the Great Healthcare Plan and absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure keep trader consensus at a 96.3% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No verifiable signals from the White House or Senate indicate an early exit, and historical patterns show presidents rarely resign absent acute legal or health crises. Speculation from figures like James Carville about post-midterm frustration has not translated into concrete developments or shifts in primary-source indicators. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include a sudden medical event, major scandal prompting bipartisan congressional action, or unforeseen personal decision before year-end, though current conditions show none underway.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
4% โอกาส
$527,690 ปริมาณ
$527,690 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
4% โอกาส
$527,690 ปริมาณ
$527,690 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued focus on legislative priorities such as the Great Healthcare Plan and absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure keep trader consensus at a 96.3% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No verifiable signals from the White House or Senate indicate an early exit, and historical patterns show presidents rarely resign absent acute legal or health crises. Speculation from figures like James Carville about post-midterm frustration has not translated into concrete developments or shifts in primary-source indicators. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include a sudden medical event, major scandal prompting bipartisan congressional action, or unforeseen personal decision before year-end, though current conditions show none underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,690วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued focus on legislative priorities such as the Great Healthcare Plan and absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure keep trader consensus at a 96.3% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No verifiable signals from the White House or Senate indicate an early exit, and historical patterns show presidents rarely resign absent acute legal or health crises. Speculation from figures like James Carville about post-midterm frustration has not translated into concrete developments or shifts in primary-source indicators. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include a sudden medical event, major scandal prompting bipartisan congressional action, or unforeseen personal decision before year-end, though current conditions show none underway.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,690วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Trump's continued focus on legislative priorities such as the Great Healthcare Plan and absence of active congressional impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure keep trader consensus at a 96.3% implied probability against resignation by December 31, 2026. No verifiable signals from the White House or Senate indicate an early exit, and historical patterns show presidents rarely resign absent acute legal or health crises. Speculation from figures like James Carville about post-midterm frustration has not translated into concrete developments or shifts in primary-source indicators. Realistic scenarios that could still move the market include a sudden medical event, major scandal prompting bipartisan congressional action, or unforeseen personal decision before year-end, though current conditions show none underway.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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