Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWY-AL House Election Winner
WY-AL House Election Winner
$26,889 ปริมาณ
$26,889 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$26,889 ปริมาณ
$26,889 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,375 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,514 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,889วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,889วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance, rooted in voter registration advantages exceeding 50 percent for the GOP against roughly 10 percent for Democrats and consistent general-election margins above 40 points, drives the market's 94 percent consensus on a Republican win in the state's at-large House race. Incumbent Harriet Hageman's retirement to pursue the Senate seat has created an open primary on August 18, 2026, featuring at least nine GOP contenders including high-profile figures such as Secretary of State Chuck Gray, ensuring a strong nominee will advance regardless of the outcome. Democrats face minimal viable challengers ahead of the November 3 general election. Rare scenarios that could narrow this lead include an unexpected post-primary Republican scandal, sharply adverse national midterm conditions, or anomalous turnout shifts, though structural partisan math makes such reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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