Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWY-AL House Election Winner
$42,399 ปริมาณ
$42,399 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
2%
$42,399 ปริมาณ
$42,399 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district with an R+23 Partisan Voter Index and a history of large GOP margins in federal contests, including the prior incumbent's 47-point victory in 2024. The open seat created by Harriet Hageman's Senate bid has drawn a crowded Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest, while Democratic candidates face a narrow path in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that reflects the state's conservative electorate and limited crossover voting. A late primary upset producing an unusually divisive nominee or an unforeseen national shift could narrow the gap, though both outcomes remain low-probability given established turnout patterns and fundraising trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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