Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$10,086 Vol.
$10,086 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,086 Vol.
$10,086 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$10,086Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,086Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stable outlooks from Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch following the May 2025 Moody’s downgrade to Aa1 anchor trader consensus against another sovereign rating cut before 2027, with current implied probabilities reflecting the agencies’ assessment that U.S. dollar reserve-currency status and persistent Treasury demand will offset widening fiscal deficits projected at 7.9 percent of GDP. Recent Fitch commentary highlighted gross debt surpassing 120 percent of GDP next year as a core concern, yet no negative watch or outlook revisions have followed the 2025 suspension of debt-ceiling constraints. Key near-term catalysts include FY2027 budget negotiations and any potential late-2026 debt-limit deadline that could reintroduce political uncertainty and prompt agency reviews.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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