Traders assign an 84% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 policy rate, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s 8-1 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in late April amid March CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year. Energy price pass-through from the Middle East conflict has driven the upside surprise in transport and household costs, yet slowing regular wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and spare labor market capacity have limited second-round risks. The modest 14.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture lingering upside inflation risks flagged by Governor Bailey, while near-zero probabilities for cuts underscore inflation remaining well above the 2% target. Key upcoming releases, including April CPI and May labor data, will shape expectations ahead of the meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$145,289 Vol.
$145,289 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
85%
25 bps increase
15%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$145,289 Vol.
$145,289 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$24,794 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$25,124 Vol.
<1%
No change
$30,685 Vol.
85%
25 bps increase
$40,795 Vol.
15%
50+ bps increase
$23,892 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an 84% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 policy rate, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s 8-1 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in late April amid March CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year. Energy price pass-through from the Middle East conflict has driven the upside surprise in transport and household costs, yet slowing regular wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and spare labor market capacity have limited second-round risks. The modest 14.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture lingering upside inflation risks flagged by Governor Bailey, while near-zero probabilities for cuts underscore inflation remaining well above the 2% target. Key upcoming releases, including April CPI and May labor data, will shape expectations ahead of the meeting.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$145,289Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign an 84% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 policy rate, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s 8-1 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in late April amid March CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year. Energy price pass-through from the Middle East conflict has driven the upside surprise in transport and household costs, yet slowing regular wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and spare labor market capacity have limited second-round risks. The modest 14.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture lingering upside inflation risks flagged by Governor Bailey, while near-zero probabilities for cuts underscore inflation remaining well above the 2% target. Key upcoming releases, including April CPI and May labor data, will shape expectations ahead of the meeting.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$145,289Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 84% implied probability to no change in the Bank of England’s June 18 policy rate, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s 8-1 vote to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in late April amid March CPI inflation rising to 3.3% year-over-year. Energy price pass-through from the Middle East conflict has driven the upside surprise in transport and household costs, yet slowing regular wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and spare labor market capacity have limited second-round risks. The modest 14.5% odds on a 25 basis point hike capture lingering upside inflation risks flagged by Governor Bailey, while near-zero probabilities for cuts underscore inflation remaining well above the 2% target. Key upcoming releases, including April CPI and May labor data, will shape expectations ahead of the meeting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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