The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75 percent, combined with March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3 percent year-over-year from energy-price pass-through tied to the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, alongside Governor Bailey’s warnings of possible further upside risks, supports the modest 14.5 percent implied probability of a 25 basis-point hike, while slowing wage growth and softer activity data limit cut odds to negligible levels. Market-implied odds reflect the central bank’s data-dependent stance ahead of the next Monetary Policy Committee gathering and upcoming April CPI and May labor-market releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBank of England decision in June?
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
85%
25 bps increase
15%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$146,433 Vol.
$146,433 Vol.
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
85%
25 bps increase
15%
50+ bps increase
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75 percent, combined with March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3 percent year-over-year from energy-price pass-through tied to the Middle East conflict, has anchored trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. Persistent inflation above the 2 percent target, alongside Governor Bailey’s warnings of possible further upside risks, supports the modest 14.5 percent implied probability of a 25 basis-point hike, while slowing wage growth and softer activity data limit cut odds to negligible levels. Market-implied odds reflect the central bank’s data-dependent stance ahead of the next Monetary Policy Committee gathering and upcoming April CPI and May labor-market releases.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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