Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition stability hinges on retaining Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party support, making any forced removal before June 30 politically costly. The High Court of Justice’s April 2026 hearings on petitions alleging police interference resulted in temporary restrictions on Ben-Gvir’s operational authority but stopped short of ordering his dismissal, preserving the status quo through the resolution window. Ben-Gvir has since continued exercising ministerial functions, including public assertions of sovereignty on the Temple Mount, with no resignation signals or coalition shifts emerging in the interim. Traders assign a 92.8% implied probability to “No” on the basis of these institutional and parliamentary dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition stability hinges on retaining Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party support, making any forced removal before June 30 politically costly. The High Court of Justice’s April 2026 hearings on petitions alleging police interference resulted in temporary restrictions on Ben-Gvir’s operational authority but stopped short of ordering his dismissal, preserving the status quo through the resolution window. Ben-Gvir has since continued exercising ministerial functions, including public assertions of sovereignty on the Temple Mount, with no resignation signals or coalition shifts emerging in the interim. Traders assign a 92.8% implied probability to “No” on the basis of these institutional and parliamentary dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$2,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition stability hinges on retaining Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party support, making any forced removal before June 30 politically costly. The High Court of Justice’s April 2026 hearings on petitions alleging police interference resulted in temporary restrictions on Ben-Gvir’s operational authority but stopped short of ordering his dismissal, preserving the status quo through the resolution window. Ben-Gvir has since continued exercising ministerial functions, including public assertions of sovereignty on the Temple Mount, with no resignation signals or coalition shifts emerging in the interim. Traders assign a 92.8% implied probability to “No” on the basis of these institutional and parliamentary dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Itamar Ben-Gvir ceases to be the Israeli Minister of National Security for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ben-Gvir's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Itamar Ben-Gvir and the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,117Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition stability hinges on retaining Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit party support, making any forced removal before June 30 politically costly. The High Court of Justice’s April 2026 hearings on petitions alleging police interference resulted in temporary restrictions on Ben-Gvir’s operational authority but stopped short of ordering his dismissal, preserving the status quo through the resolution window. Ben-Gvir has since continued exercising ministerial functions, including public assertions of sovereignty on the Temple Mount, with no resignation signals or coalition shifts emerging in the interim. Traders assign a 92.8% implied probability to “No” on the basis of these institutional and parliamentary dynamics.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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