Stalled US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment limits and stockpiles have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive nuclear agreement will be reached by June 30. Recent exchanges show President Trump rejecting Iran's counterproposal as unacceptable on May 11, with talks described as deadlocked by Iranian officials amid disputes over the duration of any enrichment moratorium and verification terms. A temporary ceasefire framework reached in early April has allowed limited diplomacy through Omani and Pakistani mediators, yet core gaps persist on sanctions relief, inspection access, and Iran's nuclear rights claims. These developments, following earlier military strikes and protests that restarted talks in 2026, have kept probabilities for a swift resolution low in the current trading consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKasunduang nukleyar ng US - Iran sa Hunyo 30?
Kasunduang nukleyar ng US - Iran sa Hunyo 30?
Oo
$1,855,382 Vol.
$1,855,382 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oo
$1,855,382 Vol.
$1,855,382 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Stalled US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment limits and stockpiles have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive nuclear agreement will be reached by June 30. Recent exchanges show President Trump rejecting Iran's counterproposal as unacceptable on May 11, with talks described as deadlocked by Iranian officials amid disputes over the duration of any enrichment moratorium and verification terms. A temporary ceasefire framework reached in early April has allowed limited diplomacy through Omani and Pakistani mediators, yet core gaps persist on sanctions relief, inspection access, and Iran's nuclear rights claims. These developments, following earlier military strikes and protests that restarted talks in 2026, have kept probabilities for a swift resolution low in the current trading consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,855,382Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Stalled US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment limits and stockpiles have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive nuclear agreement will be reached by June 30. Recent exchanges show President Trump rejecting Iran's counterproposal as unacceptable on May 11, with talks described as deadlocked by Iranian officials amid disputes over the duration of any enrichment moratorium and verification terms. A temporary ceasefire framework reached in early April has allowed limited diplomacy through Omani and Pakistani mediators, yet core gaps persist on sanctions relief, inspection access, and Iran's nuclear rights claims. These developments, following earlier military strikes and protests that restarted talks in 2026, have kept probabilities for a swift resolution low in the current trading consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,855,482Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled US-Iran negotiations over uranium enrichment limits and stockpiles have reinforced trader expectations that no comprehensive nuclear agreement will be reached by June 30. Recent exchanges show President Trump rejecting Iran's counterproposal as unacceptable on May 11, with talks described as deadlocked by Iranian officials amid disputes over the duration of any enrichment moratorium and verification terms. A temporary ceasefire framework reached in early April has allowed limited diplomacy through Omani and Pakistani mediators, yet core gaps persist on sanctions relief, inspection access, and Iran's nuclear rights claims. These developments, following earlier military strikes and protests that restarted talks in 2026, have kept probabilities for a swift resolution low in the current trading consensus.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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