Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$609,542 Vol.
$609,542 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$609,542 Vol.
$609,542 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$609,542Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$609,542Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over uranium enrichment timelines, stockpile removal, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement. In mid-May, US officials rejected Iran's latest counterproposal for deferring major concessions, describing it as unacceptable and pushing instead for immediate limits that Tehran has resisted. Vice President Vance noted ongoing talks but emphasized firm red lines requiring strong safeguards against weaponization, while mediation efforts in Oman and Pakistan have yielded only temporary ceasefires without advancing nuclear terms. These developments have reinforced trader consensus that no deal will materialize before the May 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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