Ongoing US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks have stalled since the April 2026 Islamabad round, where Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner participated without agreement on enrichment limits or sanctions relief. Trader focus now centers on whether any senior US figure will hold direct or mediated meetings with Iranian officials by May 31 amid continued exchanges of proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade and highly enriched uranium. Recent developments include Iran’s Foreign Minister attending the May BRICS summit in New Delhi and parallel US-China discussions in Beijing that referenced Iran policy. No confirmed high-level encounter has occurred in the past week, leaving open the possibility of Oman- or Pakistan-brokered sessions or a shift in US delegation before the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$81,879 Vol.
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
18%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
2%
$81,879 Vol.
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
18%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
2%
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear talks have stalled since the April 2026 Islamabad round, where Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner participated without agreement on enrichment limits or sanctions relief. Trader focus now centers on whether any senior US figure will hold direct or mediated meetings with Iranian officials by May 31 amid continued exchanges of proposals on the Strait of Hormuz blockade and highly enriched uranium. Recent developments include Iran’s Foreign Minister attending the May BRICS summit in New Delhi and parallel US-China discussions in Beijing that referenced Iran policy. No confirmed high-level encounter has occurred in the past week, leaving open the possibility of Oman- or Pakistan-brokered sessions or a shift in US delegation before the deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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