Ongoing US-Iran nuclear diplomacy shows persistent divisions over Tehran's uranium enrichment activities, with Iranian officials signaling resistance to any immediate halt in the short term. Recent threats from Tehran to pursue weapons-grade enrichment levels if strikes resume, combined with stalled proposals for even a multi-year suspension, have reinforced trader expectations that no agreement will materialize by the May 31 deadline. US flexibility on a 20-year moratorium has not bridged gaps on core issues such as stockpile management and facility oversight. While late-stage breakthroughs in mediation or de-escalation could still shift the timeline, the current impasse and internal Iranian constraints on concessions sustain the strong consensus against an accord in the coming weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,197 Vol.
$615,197 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$615,197 Vol.
$615,197 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear diplomacy shows persistent divisions over Tehran's uranium enrichment activities, with Iranian officials signaling resistance to any immediate halt in the short term. Recent threats from Tehran to pursue weapons-grade enrichment levels if strikes resume, combined with stalled proposals for even a multi-year suspension, have reinforced trader expectations that no agreement will materialize by the May 31 deadline. US flexibility on a 20-year moratorium has not bridged gaps on core issues such as stockpile management and facility oversight. While late-stage breakthroughs in mediation or de-escalation could still shift the timeline, the current impasse and internal Iranian constraints on concessions sustain the strong consensus against an accord in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Volume
$615,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear diplomacy shows persistent divisions over Tehran's uranium enrichment activities, with Iranian officials signaling resistance to any immediate halt in the short term. Recent threats from Tehran to pursue weapons-grade enrichment levels if strikes resume, combined with stalled proposals for even a multi-year suspension, have reinforced trader expectations that no agreement will materialize by the May 31 deadline. US flexibility on a 20-year moratorium has not bridged gaps on core issues such as stockpile management and facility oversight. While late-stage breakthroughs in mediation or de-escalation could still shift the timeline, the current impasse and internal Iranian constraints on concessions sustain the strong consensus against an accord in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$615,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear diplomacy shows persistent divisions over Tehran's uranium enrichment activities, with Iranian officials signaling resistance to any immediate halt in the short term. Recent threats from Tehran to pursue weapons-grade enrichment levels if strikes resume, combined with stalled proposals for even a multi-year suspension, have reinforced trader expectations that no agreement will materialize by the May 31 deadline. US flexibility on a 20-year moratorium has not bridged gaps on core issues such as stockpile management and facility oversight. While late-stage breakthroughs in mediation or de-escalation could still shift the timeline, the current impasse and internal Iranian constraints on concessions sustain the strong consensus against an accord in the coming weeks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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