Traders assign near-certain probability to no confirmation of US kamikaze dolphins by May 31 because no official statements, defense department announcements, or legislative proposals reference any such program. Established military protocols for animal use in operations have never included kamikaze tactics with dolphins, and no recent executive actions, agency reports, or congressional activity signal a shift. The absence of credible catalysts within the two-week window reinforces the consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments that could still move sentiment include an unanticipated official disclosure or reinterpretation of existing marine mammal research, though both remain structurally improbable given historical patterns and institutional constraints.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUS Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
$29,291 Vol.
$29,291 Vol.
$29,291 Vol.
$29,291 Vol.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign near-certain probability to no confirmation of US kamikaze dolphins by May 31 because no official statements, defense department announcements, or legislative proposals reference any such program. Established military protocols for animal use in operations have never included kamikaze tactics with dolphins, and no recent executive actions, agency reports, or congressional activity signal a shift. The absence of credible catalysts within the two-week window reinforces the consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments that could still move sentiment include an unanticipated official disclosure or reinterpretation of existing marine mammal research, though both remain structurally improbable given historical patterns and institutional constraints.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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