Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlávio Bolsonaro 62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 7.3%
Romeu Zema 6.6%
$3,523,450 Vol.
$3,523,450 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
15%
Renan Santos
7%
Romeu Zema
7%
Michelle Bolsonaro
3%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Camilo Santana
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 7.3%
Romeu Zema 6.6%
$3,523,450 Vol.
$3,523,450 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$56,395 Vol.
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$67,153 Vol.
15%
Renan Santos
$995,930 Vol.
7%
Romeu Zema
$256,381 Vol.
7%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$72,825 Vol.
3%
Fernando Haddad
$651,329 Vol.
3%
Camilo Santana
$56,064 Vol.
2%
Tereza Cristina
$2,848 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$289,157 Vol.
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$123,364 Vol.
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$111,040 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$642,631 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$29,825 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$48,401 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$2,246 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$77,363 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$40,500 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$3,523,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$3,523,450Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently positions Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party candidate and endorsed successor to his father, as the leading challenger to incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the October 4 first round. Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and others show Lula capturing 38-39% support while Flávio trails closely at 33-35%, with remaining votes fragmented among right-leaning figures such as Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. This dynamic stems from sustained opposition consolidation around the Bolsonaro name, early campaign endorsements, and a polarized electorate that limits breakthroughs by alternative candidates ahead of potential runoff scenarios.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong