Recent polling throughout the 2026 British Columbia campaign has shown the BC Green Party holding steady vote share in the 10-17% range, well ahead of OneBC, CentreBC and other minor parties that register at 1-2%. This positioning reflects the Greens’ established provincial organization and voter base in key ridings, while the Conservative Party of BC and BC NDP have consolidated support for first and second place. Advance voting and final-week surveys reinforced the same ordering, with no measurable late surge among smaller parties. Traders have priced the Greens at over 97% implied probability for third place by province-wide vote share because historical patterns and current data indicate limited realistic paths for another party to overtake them before final certification.