Recent polling has narrowed Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest to three main contenders, with Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead above 40 percent as the continuity candidate for President Gustavo Petro’s agenda. Right-wing challenger Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground by positioning himself as an anti-establishment outsider focused on security and military measures, pulling support away from centrist figures whose backing has collapsed below 5 percent. Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre has doubled her share in recent surveys but trails de la Espriella in the battle for the second spot that would advance to the June runoff. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects this consolidation of the right-wing vote and the limited remaining time before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Vol.
$90,132 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
11%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Vol.
$90,132 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
11%

Claudia López
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has narrowed Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential contest to three main contenders, with Historic Pact senator Iván Cepeda maintaining a clear lead above 40 percent as the continuity candidate for President Gustavo Petro’s agenda. Right-wing challenger Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground by positioning himself as an anti-establishment outsider focused on security and military measures, pulling support away from centrist figures whose backing has collapsed below 5 percent. Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Centre has doubled her share in recent surveys but trails de la Espriella in the battle for the second spot that would advance to the June runoff. Trader consensus on the second-place outcome reflects this consolidation of the right-wing vote and the limited remaining time before ballots close.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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