Skip to main content
icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 19%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.7%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 19%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.7%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,545 Vol.

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 Vol.

19%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 Vol.

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads trader consensus for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places him as the strongest right-wing contender behind left-leaning frontrunner Iván Cepeda Castro. His platform emphasizing stricter security measures and opposition to the current administration’s policies has consolidated support among conservative and anti-incumbent voters in the final weeks. Paloma Valencia trails as the next right-leaning option but remains well behind in surveys, while centrist figures such as Claudia López and Sergio Fajardo register minimal support. With the first round two weeks away, the market reflects a crowded field where de la Espriella’s positioning creates the clearest path to a runoff matchup.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,132
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella leads trader consensus for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote because recent polling consistently places him as the strongest right-wing contender behind left-leaning frontrunner Iván Cepeda Castro. His platform emphasizing stricter security measures and opposition to the current administration’s policies has consolidated support among conservative and anti-incumbent voters in the final weeks. Paloma Valencia trails as the next right-leaning option but remains well behind in surveys, while centrist figures such as Claudia López and Sergio Fajardo register minimal support. With the first round two weeks away, the market reflects a crowded field where de la Espriella’s positioning creates the clearest path to a runoff matchup.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,132
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Paloma Valencia" sa 19%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" ay naka-generate ng $90.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" ay "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Paloma Valencia" sa 19%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.