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Halalan·Ireland

Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com

icon for Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com
Halalan·Ireland

Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com

Daniel Ennis 68%

Janice Boylan 20.0%

Gerry Hutch 7.8%

Ray McAdam 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,088,860 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 68%

Janice Boylan 20.0%

Gerry Hutch 7.8%

Ray McAdam 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,088,860 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$33,329 Vol.

68%

Janice Boylan

$17,884 Vol.

20%

Gerry Hutch

$508,746 Vol.

8%

Ray McAdam

$34,455 Vol.

2%

Malachy Steenson

$21,001 Vol.

1%

Janet Horner

$15,361 Vol.

1%

Gillian Sherratt

$182,754 Vol.

1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$13,515 Vol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$53,121 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$9,475 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$45,271 Vol.

<1%

John Stephens

$153,949 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds a strong lead in the Dublin Central by-election market because Ireland’s single transferable vote system rewards candidates who attract broad second and subsequent preferences from eliminated rivals. A recent Irish Times/TG4 Ipsos B&A poll placed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first preferences at 21 percent, with Ennis on 18 percent, but showed him commanding the highest second-preference support and positioned to receive transfers from Green, Labour and People Before Profit voters as well as some centre-right preferences seeking to block a Sinn Féin victory. Independent Gerry Hutch’s third-place showing is expected to be eliminated early, further boosting the left-leaning transfer pool. With polling day set for 22 May, traders are pricing in these established transfer dynamics over raw first-preference tallies.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$1,088,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats holds a strong lead in the Dublin Central by-election market because Ireland’s single transferable vote system rewards candidates who attract broad second and subsequent preferences from eliminated rivals. A recent Irish Times/TG4 Ipsos B&A poll placed Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan narrowly ahead on first preferences at 21 percent, with Ennis on 18 percent, but showed him commanding the highest second-preference support and positioned to receive transfers from Green, Labour and People Before Profit voters as well as some centre-right preferences seeking to block a Sinn Féin victory. Independent Gerry Hutch’s third-place showing is expected to be eliminated early, further boosting the left-leaning transfer pool. With polling day set for 22 May, traders are pricing in these established transfer dynamics over raw first-preference tallies.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$1,088,860
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Daniel Ennis" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Janice Boylan" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay naka-generate ng $1.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay "Daniel Ennis" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Janice Boylan" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Email: info@dublinchinesenewyear.com" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.