The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.5% implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by April 2026 CPI data released May 12 showing a 0.6% monthly rise and 3.8% annual inflation—the hottest since May 2023 and up from March's 3.3%. This reacceleration, alongside mixed April nonfarm payrolls adding just 115,000 jobs amid steady 4.3% unemployment and rising underemployment, has solidified the Fed's cautious stance echoed in recent Powell remarks tempering 2026 rate cut expectations. While trader sentiment prices near-certainty on hold, a sharper cooldown in upcoming May jobs data (early June) or CPI (June 10) could revive modest cut odds, though hikes remain negligible at 0.8-0.3%.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Polymarket traders assign a 97.5% implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by April 2026 CPI data released May 12 showing a 0.6% monthly rise and 3.8% annual inflation—the hottest since May 2023 and up from March's 3.3%. This reacceleration, alongside mixed April nonfarm payrolls adding just 115,000 jobs amid steady 4.3% unemployment and rising underemployment, has solidified the Fed's cautious stance echoed in recent Powell remarks tempering 2026 rate cut expectations. While trader sentiment prices near-certainty on hold, a sharper cooldown in upcoming May jobs data (early June) or CPI (June 10) could revive modest cut odds, though hikes remain negligible at 0.8-0.3%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
May 13 2026
Fed’s June meeting statement signals no change to the target rate
No change rises to 98%2%
The official FOMC statement after the June 16‑17 meeting confirmed that the upper bound of the target federal funds range remained unchanged, cementing the market’s final move to near‑certain no‑change pricing.
May 10 2026
Fed’s June meeting minutes hint at a consensus to hold rates steady
No change rises to 98%2%
The released minutes confirmed that the Fed’s policymakers were aligned on a hold, cementing the No change contract at near‑certainty and pushing all cut‑related contracts to near zero.
Apr 22 2026
Fed signals likely to keep rates steady amid inflation and labor market concerns
No change rises to 95%2%
Ahead of the June meeting, Fed officials indicated a preference to hold rates steady to assess economic conditions, balancing stubborn inflation with a slowing labor market. This cautious stance led markets to strongly favor the no change outcome for the June 2026 Fed decision.
Apr 15 2026
President Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair
25 bps increase jumps to 30%5%
The nomination suggested a possible shift toward more aggressive rate cuts, briefly reviving interest in the 25‑bps increase contract before the market re‑evaluated the likelihood of a hold.
Mar 20 2026
Fed minutes show split over further rate cuts, many officials favor holding steady
No change surges to 62%16%
Released minutes from the March meeting revealed that most policymakers preferred to keep the policy rate unchanged, pushing the market further toward the no‑change outcome.
Mar 8 2026
Fed releases statement that it will likely keep rates unchanged at June meeting
No change jumps to 98%6%
A formal Fed communication reaffirmed a hold stance, delivering a decisive boost to the No change contract and driving other contracts toward zero.
Feb 15 2026
Supreme Court agrees to hear case on attempted firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook
No change dips to 46%2%
The high court’s decision to consider the Trump administration’s effort to remove Governor Cook signaled potential shifts in Fed board composition, reinforcing market expectations of a steady rate stance.
Feb 5 2026
Justice Department subpoenas the Federal Reserve over Chairman Powell’s testimony
25 bps decrease jumps to 45%7%
The unprecedented subpoena heightened political pressure on the Fed, causing traders to price in a higher likelihood of a rate‑cut, which briefly lifted the 25‑bps decrease contract before the market re‑asserted confidence in a hold.
Feb 4 2026
Supreme Court hears case on Trump’s attempt to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook
No change jumps to 56%6%
The Supreme Court considered the legality of President Trump's attempt to remove Fed governor Lisa Cook, a case seen as a test of the Fed's independence. The court's apparent inclination to allow Cook to remain reinforced expectations that the Fed would maintain its current policy stance, supporting the no change outcome.
Jan 20 2026
Trump announces plan to name Kevin Warsh as next Fed chair
No change jumps to 50%5%
President Trump announced his intention to nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, signaling potential changes in Fed leadership. Warsh's nomination raised questions about future rate policy, but his cautious stance and the divided Fed committee suggested limited immediate impact on rate cuts, reinforcing market expectations for no change in June.
Jan 20 2026
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent proposes residency rule for regional Fed presidents
No change jumps to 92%8%
Bessent’s proposal signaled a possible shift in Fed governance that could give the White House more leverage over rate decisions, weakening confidence in any rate‑cut scenario and further boosting No change.
Jan 12 2026
Supreme Court agrees to hear case on President Trump's attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook
25 bps decrease drops to 38%12%
The pending legal battle raised concerns that the Fed could lose independence, increasing the perceived risk of a politically‑driven rate cut and pulling price support from the 25‑bps decrease contract.
Jan 12 2026
Fed Chair Powell rebukes DOJ probe as political pressure
No change jumps to 45%8%
Powell issued a rare video statement condemning the DOJ investigation as a pretext to undermine the Fed’s independence in setting interest rates. This public defense reassured markets about the Fed's commitment to economic-based decisions, supporting the no change outcome in the market.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ launches criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
No change rises to 37%4%
The Department of Justice launched a criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell related to his testimony about the Fed's $2.5 billion building renovation. Powell condemned the probe as politically motivated to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates, raising concerns about Fed independence and causing market uncertainty about future rate decisions.
Jan 7 2026
DOJ launches criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
No change rises to 48%4%
The Justice Department announced a probe into Powell’s testimony on the Fed’s building renovation, raising concerns about political pressure on monetary policy and boosting confidence that rates would stay unchanged.
Dec 12 2025
U.S. inflation rises in November, dampening hopes for a rate cut
No change drops to 44%13%
Core CPI increased 2.8% YoY in November, signaling persistent price pressures and leading traders to expect the Fed to hold rates steady at its December meeting.
Dec 10 2025
Fed officials debate a third quarter‑point rate cut at December meeting
No change jumps to 84%13%
Minutes released showed a split vote (9‑3) on a quarter‑point cut, highlighting internal dissent and suggesting the cut could be fragile, which nudged the market toward No change.
Dec 10 2025
Fed cuts interest rate by 25 bps amid divided officials
25 bps decrease jumps to 55%5%
At the December 9-10 meeting, the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points, the third cut in 2025, but the decision was closely contested with dissenters favoring no change or a larger cut. This highlighted uncertainty about the Fed's next moves and influenced market expectations for the June 2026 meeting, initially supporting the possibility of rate cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.5% implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by April 2026 CPI data released May 12 showing a 0.6% monthly rise and 3.8% annual inflation—the hottest since May 2023 and up from March's 3.3%. This reacceleration, alongside mixed April nonfarm payrolls adding just 115,000 jobs amid steady 4.3% unemployment and rising underemployment, has solidified the Fed's cautious stance echoed in recent Powell remarks tempering 2026 rate cut expectations. While trader sentiment prices near-certainty on hold, a sharper cooldown in upcoming May jobs data (early June) or CPI (June 10) could revive modest cut odds, though hikes remain negligible at 0.8-0.3%.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Polymarket traders assign a 97.5% implied probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting strong consensus driven by April 2026 CPI data released May 12 showing a 0.6% monthly rise and 3.8% annual inflation—the hottest since May 2023 and up from March's 3.3%. This reacceleration, alongside mixed April nonfarm payrolls adding just 115,000 jobs amid steady 4.3% unemployment and rising underemployment, has solidified the Fed's cautious stance echoed in recent Powell remarks tempering 2026 rate cut expectations. While trader sentiment prices near-certainty on hold, a sharper cooldown in upcoming May jobs data (early June) or CPI (June 10) could revive modest cut odds, though hikes remain negligible at 0.8-0.3%.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
May 13 2026
Fed’s June meeting statement signals no change to the target rate
No change rises to 98%2%
The official FOMC statement after the June 16‑17 meeting confirmed that the upper bound of the target federal funds range remained unchanged, cementing the market’s final move to near‑certain no‑change pricing.
May 10 2026
Fed’s June meeting minutes hint at a consensus to hold rates steady
No change rises to 98%2%
The released minutes confirmed that the Fed’s policymakers were aligned on a hold, cementing the No change contract at near‑certainty and pushing all cut‑related contracts to near zero.
Apr 22 2026
Fed signals likely to keep rates steady amid inflation and labor market concerns
No change rises to 95%2%
Ahead of the June meeting, Fed officials indicated a preference to hold rates steady to assess economic conditions, balancing stubborn inflation with a slowing labor market. This cautious stance led markets to strongly favor the no change outcome for the June 2026 Fed decision.
Apr 15 2026
President Trump nominates Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair
25 bps increase jumps to 30%5%
The nomination suggested a possible shift toward more aggressive rate cuts, briefly reviving interest in the 25‑bps increase contract before the market re‑evaluated the likelihood of a hold.
Mar 20 2026
Fed minutes show split over further rate cuts, many officials favor holding steady
No change surges to 62%16%
Released minutes from the March meeting revealed that most policymakers preferred to keep the policy rate unchanged, pushing the market further toward the no‑change outcome.
Mar 8 2026
Fed releases statement that it will likely keep rates unchanged at June meeting
No change jumps to 98%6%
A formal Fed communication reaffirmed a hold stance, delivering a decisive boost to the No change contract and driving other contracts toward zero.
Feb 15 2026
Supreme Court agrees to hear case on attempted firing of Fed Governor Lisa Cook
No change dips to 46%2%
The high court’s decision to consider the Trump administration’s effort to remove Governor Cook signaled potential shifts in Fed board composition, reinforcing market expectations of a steady rate stance.
Feb 5 2026
Justice Department subpoenas the Federal Reserve over Chairman Powell’s testimony
25 bps decrease jumps to 45%7%
The unprecedented subpoena heightened political pressure on the Fed, causing traders to price in a higher likelihood of a rate‑cut, which briefly lifted the 25‑bps decrease contract before the market re‑asserted confidence in a hold.
Feb 4 2026
Supreme Court hears case on Trump’s attempt to fire Fed governor Lisa Cook
No change jumps to 56%6%
The Supreme Court considered the legality of President Trump's attempt to remove Fed governor Lisa Cook, a case seen as a test of the Fed's independence. The court's apparent inclination to allow Cook to remain reinforced expectations that the Fed would maintain its current policy stance, supporting the no change outcome.
Jan 20 2026
Trump announces plan to name Kevin Warsh as next Fed chair
No change jumps to 50%5%
President Trump announced his intention to nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, signaling potential changes in Fed leadership. Warsh's nomination raised questions about future rate policy, but his cautious stance and the divided Fed committee suggested limited immediate impact on rate cuts, reinforcing market expectations for no change in June.
Jan 20 2026
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent proposes residency rule for regional Fed presidents
No change jumps to 92%8%
Bessent’s proposal signaled a possible shift in Fed governance that could give the White House more leverage over rate decisions, weakening confidence in any rate‑cut scenario and further boosting No change.
Jan 12 2026
Supreme Court agrees to hear case on President Trump's attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook
25 bps decrease drops to 38%12%
The pending legal battle raised concerns that the Fed could lose independence, increasing the perceived risk of a politically‑driven rate cut and pulling price support from the 25‑bps decrease contract.
Jan 12 2026
Fed Chair Powell rebukes DOJ probe as political pressure
No change jumps to 45%8%
Powell issued a rare video statement condemning the DOJ investigation as a pretext to undermine the Fed’s independence in setting interest rates. This public defense reassured markets about the Fed's commitment to economic-based decisions, supporting the no change outcome in the market.
Jan 11 2026
DOJ launches criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
No change rises to 37%4%
The Department of Justice launched a criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell related to his testimony about the Fed's $2.5 billion building renovation. Powell condemned the probe as politically motivated to pressure the Fed to cut interest rates, raising concerns about Fed independence and causing market uncertainty about future rate decisions.
Jan 7 2026
DOJ launches criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell
No change rises to 48%4%
The Justice Department announced a probe into Powell’s testimony on the Fed’s building renovation, raising concerns about political pressure on monetary policy and boosting confidence that rates would stay unchanged.
Dec 12 2025
U.S. inflation rises in November, dampening hopes for a rate cut
No change drops to 44%13%
Core CPI increased 2.8% YoY in November, signaling persistent price pressures and leading traders to expect the Fed to hold rates steady at its December meeting.
Dec 10 2025
Fed officials debate a third quarter‑point rate cut at December meeting
No change jumps to 84%13%
Minutes released showed a split vote (9‑3) on a quarter‑point cut, highlighting internal dissent and suggesting the cut could be fragile, which nudged the market toward No change.
Dec 10 2025
Fed cuts interest rate by 25 bps amid divided officials
25 bps decrease jumps to 55%5%
At the December 9-10 meeting, the Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points, the third cut in 2025, but the decision was closely contested with dissenters favoring no change or a larger cut. This highlighted uncertainty about the Fed's next moves and influenced market expectations for the June 2026 meeting, initially supporting the possibility of rate cuts.
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Mga Madalas na Tanong
Ang "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Walang pagbabago" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "25 bps na pagbaba" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.
Sa ngayon, ang "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" ay naka-generate ng $26.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 10, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.
Para mag-trade sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.
Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" ay "Walang pagbabago" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "25 bps na pagbaba" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.
Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.
Oo. Hindi mo kailangang mag-trade para manatiling informed. Ang pahinang ito ay nagsisilbing live tracker para sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?." Nag-a-update ang outcome probabilities sa real-time habang pumasok ang mga bagong trade. Maaari mong i-bookmark ang pahinang ito at tingnan ang comments section para makita kung ano ang sinasabi ng ibang mga trader. Maaari mo ring gamitin ang time-range filters sa chart para makita kung paano nagbago ang odds sa paglipas ng panahon. Isang libre, real-time na bintana ito sa kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.
Ang Polymarket odds ay itinatakda ng mga tunay na trader na naglalagay ng tunay na pera sa kanilang mga paniniwala, na may tendensiyang maglabas ng mga tumpak na prediksiyon. Sa $26.9 million na na-trade sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?," pinagsasama-sama ng mga presyong ito ang kolektibong kaalaman at conviction ng libu-libong kalahok — na kadalasang mas mahusay kaysa sa mga poll, expert forecast, at tradisyonal na survey. Ang mga prediction market tulad ng Polymarket ay may malakas na track record ng accuracy, lalo na habang papalapit ang mga event sa kanilang resolution date. Halimbawa, ang Polymarket ay may one month accuracy score na 94%. Para sa pinakabagong stats sa prediction accuracy ng Polymarket, bisitahin ang accuracy page sa Polymarket.
Para ilagay ang iyong unang trade sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?," mag-sign up para sa libreng Polymarket account at i-fund ito gamit ang crypto, credit o debit card, o bank transfer. Kapag na-fund na ang iyong account, bumalik sa pahinang ito, piliin ang outcome na gusto mong i-trade, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bago ka sa prediction markets, i-click ang "How it works" link sa itaas ng anumang Polymarket page para sa mabilis na step-by-step walkthrough kung paano gumagana ang trading.
Sa Polymarket, ang presyo ng bawat outcome ay kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Ang presyong 98¢ para sa "Walang pagbabago" sa "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" market ay nangangahulugang kolektibong naniniwala ang mga trader na may halos 98% na tsansa na ang "Walang pagbabago" ang magiging tamang resulta. Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares sa 98¢ at tama ang outcome, makakatanggap ka ng $1.00 per share — isang kita na 2¢ per share. Kung mali, ang mga share na iyon ay nagkakahalaga ng $0.
Ang "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" market ay naka-schedule na mag-resolve sa o bandang Jun 17, 2026. Ibig sabihin ang trading ay mananatiling bukas at patuloy na magbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon hanggang sa petsang iyon. Ang eksaktong timing ng resolution ay nakadepende sa kung kailan magiging available ang opisyal na resulta, gaya ng nakabalangkas sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito.
Ang "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?" market ay may isang aktibong komunidad ng 8,174 mga komento kung saan nagbabahagi ang mga trader ng kanilang analysis, nag-debate ng mga outcome, at pinag-uusapan ang mga breaking development. Mag-scroll pababa sa comments section sa ibaba para basahin kung ano ang iniisip ng ibang kalahok. Maaari mo ring i-filter ayon sa "Top Holders" para makita kung saan nakaposisyon ang mga pinakamalaking trader ng market, o tingnan ang "Activity" tab para sa real-time feed ng mga trade.
Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa mga real-world events. Bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares sa mga outcome para sa mga paksang mula pulitika at eleksyon hanggang crypto, finance, sports, tech, at kultura, kasama ang mga market tulad ng "Fed Desisyon sa Hunyo?." Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction, na kadalasang nagbibigay ng mas mabilis at mas tumpak na signal kaysa sa mga poll, pundit, o tradisyonal na survey.
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