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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Ben Butler 31.1%

Dan Green 28%

Jorge Martinez 23.5%

Thomas Chalifoux 11%

Polymarket

$123,887 Vol.

Ben Butler 31.1%

Dan Green 28%

Jorge Martinez 23.5%

Thomas Chalifoux 11%

Polymarket

$123,887 Vol.

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$20,920 Vol.

31%

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$14,865 Vol.

28%

icon for Jorge Martinez

Jorge Martinez

$13,453 Vol.

24%

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$43,192 Vol.

11%

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$11,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$10,483 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$5,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,955 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,509 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican primary field to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto, with the August 18 vote just days away. A recent Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, Dan Green close behind, and over 40% of likely GOP voters undecided, reflecting fragmented support across the candidates' varying backgrounds and local ties. Endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's backing of Green have shifted some trader positioning, yet the market's tight clustering around Butler, Green, and Martinez indicates ongoing uncertainty about which contender can consolidate votes in the final stretch. Late developments like additional forums, turnout patterns, or last-minute momentum could widen gaps before primary night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$123,887
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida's redrawn 9th Congressional District has drawn a crowded Republican primary field to challenge Democratic incumbent Darren Soto, with the August 18 vote just days away. A recent Victory Insights poll showed Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top, Dan Green close behind, and over 40% of likely GOP voters undecided, reflecting fragmented support across the candidates' varying backgrounds and local ties. Endorsements such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's backing of Green have shifted some trader positioning, yet the market's tight clustering around Butler, Green, and Martinez indicates ongoing uncertainty about which contender can consolidate votes in the final stretch. Late developments like additional forums, turnout patterns, or last-minute momentum could widen gaps before primary night.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$123,887
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ben Butler" sa 31%, sinusundan ng "Dan Green" sa 28%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 31¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $123.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 23, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Ben Butler" sa 31%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dan Green" sa 28%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-09 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.