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Politika·Florida

Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share

icon for Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share
Politika·Florida

Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share

$1,982 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$1,982 Vol.

Polymarket

≥30%

$879 Vol.

99%

≥40%

$84 Vol.

97%

≥45%

$102 Vol.

98%

≥50%

$244 Vol.

42%

≥55%

$0 Vol.

1%

≥60%

$78 Vol.

1%

≥65%

$157 Vol.

1%

≥75%

$205 Vol.

2%

≥85%

$233 Vol.

1%

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a field of other challengers. Trump's endorsement provided a decisive boost, consolidating support among the party's base and helping Donalds maintain double-digit leads in polls from spring through summer. Pre-primary surveys from Emerson and others showed him in the mid-to-high 30s to mid-40s range among likely GOP voters, reflecting his strong fundraising, congressional record on school choice and parental rights, and alignment with national conservative priorities. The outcome leaves limited room for late shifts, with the general election matchup against Democrat David Jolly now set for November.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$1,982
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026 primary with 47.8% of the vote, outpacing Jay Collins and a field of other challengers. Trump's endorsement provided a decisive boost, consolidating support among the party's base and helping Donalds maintain double-digit leads in polls from spring through summer. Pre-primary surveys from Emerson and others showed him in the mid-to-high 30s to mid-40s range among likely GOP voters, reflecting his strong fundraising, congressional record on school choice and parental rights, and alignment with national conservative priorities. The outcome leaves limited room for late shifts, with the general election matchup against Democrat David Jolly now set for November.

Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$1,982
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 18, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Byron Donalds wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official statewide results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?

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Ang "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "≥30%" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "≥45%" sa 98%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" ay "≥30%" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "≥45%" sa 98%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds Vote Share" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.