**France’s ongoing parliamentary gridlock and fragile minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu are the main drivers behind speculation over who will next dissolve the National Assembly.** Since the inconclusive 2024 snap legislative vote created a hung parliament, successive governments have struggled to pass budgets, relying on Article 49.3 or facing no-confidence risks. Macron explicitly ruled out a new dissolution in late September 2026, arguing it would add instability just eight months before the April-May 2027 presidential election and limit the incoming president’s options. The 2027 budget, presented in early October with roughly €43-54 billion in austerity measures to cut the deficit toward 5% of GDP, faces tough opposition scrutiny amid rising bond yields and public protests. Recent Senate gains by the National Rally underscore shifting parliamentary dynamics. The incoming president is widely expected to call fresh legislative elections after taking office, though a late-2026 or early-2027 snap vote remains possible if the budget process collapses.