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icon for Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?
Politika·France

Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?

icon for Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?
Politika·France

Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?

$1,060,005 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,060,005 Vol.

Polymarket

Hunyo 30, 2026

$78,371 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized trader consensus against near-term snap legislative elections, with implied probabilities under 1% for declaration by June 30, 2026, reflecting over $1 million in trading volume. Lecornu invoked Article 49.3 in January to pass the 2026 budget amid deadlock threats and survived no-confidence motions in February, averting collapse in the fragmented National Assembly left by 2024's dissolution. March municipal elections delivered far-right gains in 55 towns, amplifying tensions, but no acute crisis has prompted President Macron's Article 12 dissolution. Upcoming parliamentary votes on spending and reforms remain key catalysts ahead of the 2027 presidential race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,060,005
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. France's minority government under Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has stabilized trader consensus against near-term snap legislative elections, with implied probabilities under 1% for declaration by June 30, 2026, reflecting over $1 million in trading volume. Lecornu invoked Article 49.3 in January to pass the 2026 budget amid deadlock threats and survived no-confidence motions in February, averting collapse in the fragmented National Assembly left by 2024's dissolution. March municipal elections delivered far-right gains in 55 towns, amplifying tensions, but no acute crisis has prompted President Macron's Article 12 dissolution. Upcoming parliamentary votes on spending and reforms remain key catalysts ahead of the 2027 presidential race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$1,060,005
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Hunyo 30, 2026" sa 1%, sinusundan ng "Setyembre 15" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 1¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 1% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $1.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 26, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?" ay "Hunyo 30, 2026" sa 1% lang, na may "Setyembre 15" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Halalan sa France tinawag ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.