Iran maintains de facto control over Greater Tunb Island, which it seized in 1971 along with Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb amid a longstanding sovereignty dispute with the United Arab Emirates. The islands hold strategic value for monitoring and influencing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. In mid-July 2026, U.S. military strikes targeted Iranian coastal defense and cruise missile sites on Greater Tunb as part of broader escalation, degrading some operational capabilities without altering territorial control. UAE diplomatic efforts continue through regional bodies and international forums to press claims via negotiation or arbitration, while Iran rejects external involvement. No scheduled events or verified military operations indicate an imminent shift in administration of the island.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$50,409 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$50,409 Vol.
August 31
$27,900 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains de facto control over Greater Tunb Island, which it seized in 1971 along with Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb amid a longstanding sovereignty dispute with the United Arab Emirates. The islands hold strategic value for monitoring and influencing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. In mid-July 2026, U.S. military strikes targeted Iranian coastal defense and cruise missile sites on Greater Tunb as part of broader escalation, degrading some operational capabilities without altering territorial control. UAE diplomatic efforts continue through regional bodies and international forums to press claims via negotiation or arbitration, while Iran rejects external involvement. No scheduled events or verified military operations indicate an imminent shift in administration of the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Volume
$50,409Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains de facto control over Greater Tunb Island, which it seized in 1971 along with Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb amid a longstanding sovereignty dispute with the United Arab Emirates. The islands hold strategic value for monitoring and influencing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. In mid-July 2026, U.S. military strikes targeted Iranian coastal defense and cruise missile sites on Greater Tunb as part of broader escalation, degrading some operational capabilities without altering territorial control. UAE diplomatic efforts continue through regional bodies and international forums to press claims via negotiation or arbitration, while Iran rejects external involvement. No scheduled events or verified military operations indicate an imminent shift in administration of the island.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greater Tunb Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Greater Tunb Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Greater Tunb Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$50,409Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 20, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains de facto control over Greater Tunb Island, which it seized in 1971 along with Abu Musa and Lesser Tunb amid a longstanding sovereignty dispute with the United Arab Emirates. The islands hold strategic value for monitoring and influencing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. In mid-July 2026, U.S. military strikes targeted Iranian coastal defense and cruise missile sites on Greater Tunb as part of broader escalation, degrading some operational capabilities without altering territorial control. UAE diplomatic efforts continue through regional bodies and international forums to press claims via negotiation or arbitration, while Iran rejects external involvement. No scheduled events or verified military operations indicate an imminent shift in administration of the island.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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