Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Vol.
$292,518 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,518 Vol.
$292,518 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,925 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,518Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,518Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, anchoring trader consensus at near-certainty for that outcome. This reading aligns with seasonal climatology for mid-May, when typical highs range from 28–31°C under prevailing subtropical conditions, though recent ENSO-neutral patterns and above-normal long-term warming trends have kept variability modest. No major weather systems or model divergences altered the trajectory in the final 48 hours before observation. The market-implied odds reflect the finality of verified station data, with resolution hinging on the Observatory’s official daily maximum rather than forecasts. Only an unprecedented post hoc data revision or measurement error could shift the outcome, scenarios that historical monitoring records render highly improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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