Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,751 Vol.
$80,751 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,751 Vol.
$80,751 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the German Weather Service and ECMWF show Munich temperatures climbing toward a peak of 30°C today under a stable high-pressure ridge with southerly advection of warmer air masses. This aligns with mid-August climatology, where historical maxima frequently reach 28–32°C, and current surface observations confirm the trajectory without significant cooling influences like increased cloud cover or frontal passages. Traders assign 100% implied probability to the 30°C outcome because resolution criteria hinge on official daily maximum readings, with model consensus narrowing uncertainty ranges. An unexpected convective cell or revised station measurement could still shift the final value, though such deviations appear unlikely given persistent synoptic conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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