Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on May 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 14?
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 12%
BAGO
$35,501 Vol.
BAGO
$35,501 Vol.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 33%
62-63°F 24%
66-67°F 22%
68-69°F 12%
BAGO
$35,501 Vol.
BAGO
$35,501 Vol.
May 14, 2026
57°F or below
$876 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$1,712 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$6,782 Vol.
9%
62-63°F
$4,133 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$2,204 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$2,945 Vol.
22%
68-69°F
$3,190 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$3,323 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$3,167 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,501 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$5,864 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$35,501Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,501Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 14, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32.5% probability for a 64-65°F high in New York City on May 14, driven by National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles clustering forecasts in the 60-67°F range amid a slow-moving upper-level low and stalled frontal boundary ushering clouds and showers. Recent developments include May 13's breezy, mostly cloudy conditions with developing precipitation, suppressing diurnal heating below seasonal norms of ~71°F at Central Park. Key variables tipping outcomes include shower timing and intensity—earlier clearing or thinner clouds could boost 66-69°F odds, while persistent overcast or northwest winds favor 60-63°F; extremes remain unlikely given model agreement. Evening 00Z model runs may refine this ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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