Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on August 27, driven by light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and dry winter conditions typical for late August. These factors limit solar heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Minor differences arise from urban heat-island effects, exact cloud timing, and localized model variations in boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average near 22–23°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth from a transient ridge of high pressure. Updated model runs and official observations near local afternoon will clarify the final recorded maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
28°C 38%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
38%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 38%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
35%
28°C
38%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on August 27, driven by light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and dry winter conditions typical for late August. These factors limit solar heating while preventing significant cooling, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 27°C and 28°C. Minor differences arise from urban heat-island effects, exact cloud timing, and localized model variations in boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average near 22–23°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth from a transient ridge of high pressure. Updated model runs and official observations near local afternoon will clarify the final recorded maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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