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Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

icon for How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
Ekonomiya·Jerome Powell

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Jun 17

Jun 17

0 74%

1 17%

2 9%

3 6%

Polymarket

$19,356 Vol.

0 74%

1 17%

2 9%

3 6%

Polymarket

$19,356 Vol.

0

$12,789 Vol.

74%

1

$372 Vol.

15%

2

$155 Vol.

9%

3

$856 Vol.

6%

4+

$5,184 Vol.

2%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,356
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market-implied odds assign a 73.5% probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that the committee will converge after the April 28-29 session produced a record four dissents—the highest since 1992. That outcome stemmed from three regional presidents opposing language signaling potential rate cuts amid inflation readings above the 2% target, while one governor favored an immediate reduction from the 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate range. May CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases have reinforced a neutral-to-hawkish policy stance, with futures markets now pricing less than a 10% chance of any 2026 easing, narrowing the scope for internal divisions. The 15% probability on a single dissent captures residual uncertainty around inflation persistence, while lower odds for two or more align with recent committee alignment ahead of the next data-dependent decision.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,356
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "0" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "1" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ay naka-generate ng $19.4K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 29, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ay "0" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "1" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.